The Trade Report – Week 10 Buys & Sells
It’s time to start looking ahead. Fantasy playoffs are on the horizon and, while you need to keep your eyes on the present, you need to be aware of what’s coming. Sometimes a rough playoff schedule (typically weeks 14,15,16) can break your championship aspirations. So, I took a look at some blossoming opportunities and soft end of year schedules for you to take advantage of and some players to dodge, due to tough schedules coming up. Good luck.
- Marques Valdes-Scantling(GB)- Valdes-Scantling had his “breakout” game last where he eclipsed 100 yards on 3 catches. Aaron Rodgers typically doesn’t target rookies a ton, but MVS seems to be an exception. His first three games, he was only targeted a total of 5 times. However, over these last four weeks, MVS has AVERAGED just under 7 targets per game. Now, with Geronimo Allison placed on the IR, Valdes-Scantling slots in as Rodgers’ WR2 and that bodes well going forward. Buy now, before his value catches up with his opportunity.
- John Brown(BAL)- Over the last two weeks, John Brown has been quiet. Not only has he only had 3 catches per game but he’s only totaled 45 yards. Brown is still Baltimore’s leading receiver and he should rebound nicely. Also, Brown’s upcoming schedule is very generous. That includes match-ups with Cincinnati (week 11), Atlanta(13), and Tampa Bay(15) which are currently yielding the 4th, 3rd, and 2nd most fantasy points to wide receivers. Brown’s value is lower than it should be right now. It’s a great time to buy.
- Keenan Allen(LAC)- While last week Keenan Allen had the most receiving yards of the season, he’s largely been a disappointment. Despite the down year for a player probably picked in one of the earlier rounds, his targets never stopped. Despite his large target share, Allen hasn’t scored a touchdown since week 1. That total should positively regress as the season progresses. To top it all off, Allen finishes the season vs. Pittsburgh(7th most fantasy points to wide receivers) and faces Cincinnati (4th) and Kansas City (17th) during fantasy playoffs. Allen’s value is troublingly low and now is as good of a time as ever to buy.
- Matthew Stafford(DET) – Stafford was one of my favorite draft targets at the beginning of the season. I thought he was going way too late in drafts and was a bargain. However, this year Stafford has just been…ok. Stafford only has one top-12 QB finish this season and that’s not enough for your starting quarterback. Furthermore, Stafford’s upcoming schedule is BRUTAL. He faces the tough Bears’ defense twice then in the play-offs faces the Cardinals (32nd most fantasy points to quarterbacks), Bills(30th), and Minnesota(22nd). Unfortunately, the road ahead looks rougher than the road behind Stafford. With the departure of Golden Tate and the increasingly difficult schedule, now is the time to sell Stafford to a Lions’ fan.
- Jordan Howard(CHI) – A few weeks ago, I told you to keep an eye out for Jordan Howard’s big game. Well, last week was it. Now is your chance to sell high. Howard may have had over 16 fantasy points, but he got there with two touchdowns. Outside of the two touchdowns, Howard only had 47 yards on 14 carries. That’s not very impressive. His unimpressive output coupled with Tarik Cohen’s increased usage signal doom and gloom for Howard. I’d target a running back needy team and dangle Howard to them for the nice sell high.
- Eric Ebron(IND) – Despite Jack Doyle’s return, Ebron still had a nice ppr score (12.7) last game. That was largely inflated by the touchdown grab but other than that, Ebron only had 3 catches for 37 yards. To top it all off, Ebron did all his damage on only 22% of snaps. Meanwhile, Jack Doyle was on the field for 73% of snaps. Ebron’s success will not last and will not be a reliable tight end option going forward. This nice game has raised Ebron’s value a bit, now is the time to sell.
Tell me your thoughts! Did I miss someone obvious? Am I the best fortune teller you’ve ever seen or just plain wrong? If you want to let me know or if you’re just looking for free fantasy football advice, you can find me on Twitter @Sam_Wise730 or you could use our company handle @tffgurus. Also, feel free to check out the podcast page @trophytimepod and shoot us a follow. See you next week.