The Trade Report – Stock Up, Stock Down
Week 14 was a fantasy bloodbath. The highest fantasy scoring NFL team, the Los Angeles Rams, got held to only 6 real points. It’s likely that many of you were relying on the likes of Gurley, Goff, Woods, and Cooks. Woods had an ok day but the rest of them had single digits. Other studs, like Cam Newton, Antonio Brown, and Russell Wilson, also had some brutal days. If you managed to survive the carnage, I applaud you and am here to help you catch any more rising stocks on your quest for a championship.
- Nick Foles(PHI): Wentz is out, Foles is in. Normally, I’d be wary of a back-up, but Foles is no normal back-up. He went on an electric run in the playoffs for Philly last year and the Philly coaches and weapons trust him. Not to mention, he’s got a tasty match-up with the Rams this week that promises to be a high-scoring affair. Stock is up.
- Ben Roethlisberger(PIT): Big Ben had a rough game in Oakland. Despite his high projections and porous Oakland defense, Ben put up a mediocre day. But don’t worry! Ben missed the majority of the second half, and when he was in, he moved the ball well. Ben still has a very generous play-off schedule in New England at home and at New Orleans. Both promise to shootouts, with the Steelers likely chasing each game. Stock is going back up.
- Jaylen Samuels(PIT): First of all, if you play fantasy on Yahoo, Samuels has tight end eligibility. If that’s the case, plug him in your line-up IMMEDIATELY unless you have Kelce, Ertz, or Kittle. Otherwise, he’s still a good option. Coming out of college, one of Samuels’ primary strengths was his catching ability. The Steeler offense is great at utilizing that ability in their running backs. As long as Conner remains out, Samuels is a back-end RB1, high-end RB2. Stock is rising.
- Elijah McGuire(NYJ): First of all, the opportunity is there. Isaiah Crowell is out and McGuire slots in as the lead back. The Jets’ coaching staff has already shown a lot of comfort in working McGuire, totally 84 yards and a touchdown on 20 touches. His match-ups aren’t great (Houston and Green Bay) but his usage will be there. His talent is a new oil well ready to be tapped. Stock will rise.
- Tyrell/Mike Williams (LAC): Rivers is having a career year. The Chargers are near the top of the AFC and the offense is humming. While Keenan Allen is the lead dog in the WR corp, with injuries to Gordon and Ekeler, there are more targets to be had. Along with the more targets, the Chargers will likely lean on the pass more. Both Williams look to benefit from these injuries. Stock up.
- Curtis Samuel (CAR): Samuel has had his best stretch of games in his career. He’s eclipsed 12 ppr points 4 weeks in a row. Newton has shown a trust in him that he hasn’t shown in smaller receivers in the past. On top of his hot streak, Samuel has tantalizing match-ups in the last two weeks with New Orleans and Atlanta. Two weaker defenses and two offenses that will promise a high scoring match-up. His stock rises.
- Ian Thomas(CAR): I have been super impressed by Ian Thomas so far. Since Greg Olsen went on the IR a game and a half ago, Thomas has compiled 14 catches for 123 yards. Cam trusts him and match-ups with the Saints and Falcons promise to be high scoring. The tight end landscape is a barren desert but Thomas is emerging as an oasis. Stock is going up.
- Vernon Davis(WASH): Stop me if you’ve heard this one before, Jordan Reed is banged up. When given the opportunity of to be the TE1, Davis has flourished in Washington. 4th string QB Josh Johnson targeted Davis 4 times in their limited time together last week. Johnson will lean on his tight end in these tough times and Davis will deliver solid usage. Stock up.
- Cam Newton(CAR): Newton is the best kind of fantasy QB. Due to his running ability, his floor is remarkably high. That being said, I worry about Cam. He’s scored below his projections the last two weeks and has been banged up along the way. He doesn’t look to have a fully healthy shoulder and I worry that if the Panthers become officially eliminated from the playoffs, they may choose to rest their franchise QB. That leads me to lower his stock just a bit.
- Any Baltimore RB(BAL): I’ve bought into the Kenneth Dixon hype before. I like Ty Montgomery’s pass-catching ability. I really like the way Gus Edwards runs tough. All that being said, that leads me to believe that it will eventually become a running back by committee. Ravens are fighting for their playoff lives and with Dixon back in the mix, I expect them to alternate running backs throughout the game, depending on the script. It will be impossible to predict which guy gets the most touches. Stock is down on all those guys.
- Alshon Jeffrey/Nelson Agholor/Jordan Matthews(PHI): While Nick Foles’ stock is rising after the Wentz injury, his receivers not so much. None of them have been especially productive this year, but with Foles in, I expect the tight ends usage to continue(maybe even rise) but the receivers’ dying off. If you can plug in other guys for any of your Eagle receivers, I would. Their stock is falling.
- Jimmy Graham(GB): Despite being targeted 20 times the last 3 weeks, I don’t trust Jimmy Graham. He’s only converted those 20 targets into 21.7 ppr points. Graham still can’t get separation or break away from defenders. And his bread and butter, redzone usage, is being infringed upon by the newly properly utilized Aaron Jones. He is now utterly and completely touchdown dependent and that’s not good for fantasy owners. Stock is in a free fall.
Tell me your thoughts! Did I miss someone obvious? Am I leading you to victory in these playoffs? If you want to let me know or if you’re just looking for free fantasy football advice, you can find me on Twitter @Sam_Wise730 or you could use our company handle @tffgurus. Also, feel free to check out the podcast page @trophytimepod and shoot us a follow. See you next week.