IDP Corner: TNF Week 6

Man did I have some hope for this Giants defense coming into this season. I am not head over heels in love with Alec Ogletree, but I did think he was going to lock down the middle of this defense more than he has allowing both the line and the secondary to flourish. What we really have seen is just not good play by the NYG DEs and OLBs resulting in Ogletree trying to do too much, and a secondary that’s sometimes needing to creep into the box to help.

Philadelphia has had their share of struggles as well defensively, though most of this has been driven by injuries. Still very dangerous on offense, the Eagles have at least been able to allow their defense to rest in most games where the Giants offense continues to struggle staying on the field. 5 to 10 fewer plays per game does add up, especially in important situations in the 4th quarter.

Division games give me a headache when trying to predict them, especially when both teams are in transitional spots, I think Philadelphia has to have the edge here, but it’ll end up as more of a shoot out than most will expect.  

Players that are likely to be owned or even started in your league: Jordan Hicks, Landon Collins, Alec Ogletree, Damon Harrison, Ronald Darby, Fletcher Cox, Nigel Bradham, and Brandon Graham.

Defensive Linemen:
B.J. Hill, DT NYG: I’ve brought up Hill previously and admittedly you’ll need to be in a league that gives decent value to sacks to see value in Hill’s production, but over the past 3 weeks he’s gotten about one third snap share at the interior line spots for the Giants, but in that time he’s had 2 sacks with 5 tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Certainly not J.J. Watt numbers, but given that Harrison is likely already owned in your league if you play with more than one DL position, Hill is currently just as productive and significantly easier to get a hold of.

Derek Barnett, DE PHI: After missing last week, Barnett practiced both Tuesday and Wednesday and has been cleared to play tonight. While Cox and Graham certainly have done well this season, Barnett saw a clear increase in snap share each week until he was out last week. Statistically speaking Barnett is just behind Cox and Graham even with the missed game and slightly lower amount of playing time. I expect his usage to continue to grow as it did previous to last week, and with more time on the field, his stats should continue to rise as well.

Defensive Backs:
Curtis Riley, S NYG: An argument could be made that Janoris Jenkins (CB) with his 4 more passes defended and extra interception over Riley, but as I have always made clear, I chase tackles (yes they have the exact same tackle totals) and tackle opportunities which Safeties generally have over Cornerbacks, and that’s the difference maker for me here. Both Riley and Jenkins have been seeing near 100% snaps at their respective positions, and honestly neither are a bad choice to grab. It is more likely that Jenkins is already owned due to his week 1 pop-off, but since there has been a 1 assisted tackle and 2 passes defended in their total production across all stats.

Avonte Maddox, CB PHI: Even after Rodney McLeod went out 2 weeks ago the most likely backup, Sidney Jones, has actually seen his snap percentage drop from his week 3 high of 78% which is why I would like to point out that our man Maddox was a starting safety and saw 100% of the defensive snaps last week. Oh and Corey Graham is out this week too, so all signs are pointing to a second safety start for Maddox. This is a total risk play, but as of this season Eli is not the QB that Cousins is, and Maddox played well against Cousins. Yes, Jalen Mills has been doing well all season and is pretty available too. Yes, there is no guarantee that Maddox will produce more than the 4 tackles he got last week. BUT, man-o-man if he goes off you’ll piss off who ever you’re up against this week.

Olivier Vernon, OLB NYG: In addition to being moved from DE to OLB this season, Vernon has been sidelined all season so far. All signs point to him playing this week, and the Giants need all the help they can get at the LB position with no one really stepping up consistently to help Ogletree. Vernon should have a strong shot at sacks each week and should produce more tackles compared to seasons in the past. Overall he’ll be more valuable in sack heavy scoring leagues, and has likely been held on to in your deeper leagues, but if you need some LB help and want it from this game, he’s a good pick.

Realistically Jordan Hicks and Nigel Bradham have the only current fantasy relevance at LB for the Eagles and are pretty widely owned in most leagues. I personally really like Kamu Grugier-Hill and certainly am rooting for him to get plenty of playing time, but it’s just not happening currently. No other LB in PHI has seen more than 2% of snaps, I just can’t recommend anyone in this game.

Good luck to everyone on your Thursday endeavors. As always if you have any questions feel free to reach out to me via twitter @decoylife or the other gurus @TFFGurus.

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