Doug’s DraftKings player picks week 6
I typically don’t like to point chase in DFS but I like the match ups of a few players who popped off last week as you will see below. Last week was a bit of a tough go as I missed cashing in all five lineups. No bueno. I’m looking to bounce back big this week with some of my favorite plays, listed below. There are a few teams I’m looking to stack this week that have very favorable tilts. Pittsburgh, Tennessee and Chicago all make sense, in that order.
As a way to hold myself accountable to myself and you, the reader, I will provide a weekly recap of the previous weeks player picks. I find that accountability is important in this industry as too many writers, podcasters and “experts” throw things at a wall and see if they stick and are quick to tout their “wins” but never talk about the “losses” or “misses”. Both you and I know nobody is perfect at predicting what is going to happen week to week but I think some reflection is due when you whiff on a player or team pick for the week. I will break these down in three categories: Touchdowns are players that finished in the top 10 at their respective position or produced 5X their value, which I discussed last week. First Downs are players that didn’t hurt you in your lineup and had average results based on cost. Punts are the players that I completely whiffed on and did not help you in any way, shape or form. They happen, it’s part of the game. If I did a bad job picking them I’m going to own up to it! With that said here are the results from week one:
Tom Brady, Brian Hoyer, Martellus Bennett, Hunter Henry, Vikings D, Buffalo D
Carson Wentz, Todd Gurley, Terrance West, Deandre Washington, OBJ, Zach Ertz, Tennessee D
Paxton Lynch, Jerrick Mckinnon, Josh Ferguson, Julian Edelman
Ben Roethlisberger: $7,500 vs. Miami (Road)
Nine touchdown passes in the last two weeks and now Big Ben gets to face the patchwork cornerbacks of the Dolphins. Literally throwing shit against the wall to see if it sticks the Dolphins just let up a QB1 week to Marcus Mariota. 300 yards and 3-4 touchdowns are in play in Miami. Ben should be a staple of your lineups if you like to pay up at the Quarterback position.
Marcus Mariota: $6,100 vs. Cleveland (Home)
Speaking of Mr. Mariota, he gets another great spot this week to blow away expectations. He looked really good last week and finally started to use his legs more. That only took FOREVER! Cleveland is coming off of a three TD, 400 yard performance from Tom Brady. Mariota should be able to put up 300 total yards and three touchdowns this week. Great value!
Brian Hoyer: $5,800 vs. Jacksonville (Home)
Guess who has the most passing yards in the NFL in the past three weeks? The answer is Brian freaking Hoyer! The fantasy zombie is back from the dead and ready to go over 300 yards and two scores, again! That would make four straight weeks with such stats. 2016 is unbelievable.
Alex Smith: $5,700 vs. Oakland (Road)
Fresh off the bye and ready to crawl up and down the field at a snails pace, Smith has the potential here to be a low owned GPP winner. The Raiders continue to struggle in coverage as seen last week versus the Chargers. Now Smith is no Philip Rivers mind you but he typically plays against the Raiders very well. A “healthy” Jamaal Charles should help. More on that later…..
Lesean Mccoy: $6,900 vs. San Francisco (Home)
Chalk match up of the week! Home cooking and coming off a 150 yard day, Mccoy is the only thing in town for Buffalo’s offense. The Niners have allowed over 100 yards rushing in four straight and looked like a sieve last week against David Johnson and the Cardinals. High ownership is inevitable but the match up is elite.
Carlos Hyde : $5,100 vs. Buffalo (Road)
I’d like to know what DraftKings has against Carlos Hyde. He has another nice week and his price is still very affordable. The Niners announced Colin Kaepernick will start this week and I actually think that will help Hyde as Kap is more of a threat to run than Gabbert was. I expect a fairly close game so Hyde should get 20-25 touches and for $5,100 that’s gold in DFS.
Jamaal Charles: $5,100 vs. Oakland (Road)
A great GPP play this week, Charles is fresh off the bye and hopefully ready to rock against the Raiders. He has destroyed the Raiders in his career so that’s a narrative you will probably hear a lot this week. Jamaal is a wildcard this week so I would avoid him in cash. He could be the player that either wins or loses for you this week so try not to have too much exposure and hedge those bets!
Gio Bernard: $4,600 vs. New England (Road)
It appears that Gio has finally secured the starters job in Cincinnati now that Jeremy Hill is banged up and mostly ineffective. The Patriots struggle with athletic backs in space so I think Gio is a great play in a game where the Bengals may be playing catch up. Full point PPR in DraftKings make Bernard a sneaky play this week.
Allen Hurns: $4,700 vs. Chicago (Road)
The second best Allen in the pass game, Mr. Hurns is due for a big game. I think this week is it. The Bears just got torched by T.Y. Hilton and the Colts really don’t have a great second option in the passing game. Hurns should be a mismatch all day in Chicago in what may be a shootout with two sub par defenses.
Sammie Coates: $4,700 vs. Miami (Road)
Another point chasing chalk play, Coates is bound to produce again this week against Miami. He can be frustrating to own in season long with all of his drops and mental mistakes but good lordy is he athletic. Look for a deep score and a healthy amount of targets this week. News came out Weds. that Coates had a “significant”wrap on his hand so monitor this situation. It wouldn’t shock me if he was the highest owned player in tournaments this week as its’s a good week to pay down at the position.
Cameron Meredith: $4,100 vs. Jacksonville (Home)
Here I am chasing points again. Great price and an OK Match up this week make Meredith an attractive play. The Jags have actually been very good against the pass this season but I have a feeling there will be some opportunities on both sides of the ball through the air. If you don’t like Meredith at this price Jeremy Kerley makes for a good value play as well in this price range. 5-75-1 for Meredith this week. In Hoyer I trust!
Delanie Walker: $5,500 vs. Cleveland (Home)
The only guy in town you want in the Titans pass game is Mr. Walker. Did you see what New England’s Tight Ends just did? Now I’m not saying Delanie is going to put up 150 yards and three scores but 100/1 is totally in the cards this week. Mariota, Murray, Walker and Tenn. D is a sneaky stack this week that could pay off big in tournaments.
Martellus Bennett: $4,500 vs. Cincinnati (Home)
Martysaurus Rex was the number one tight end last week and with good reason. It sure looked to me that there was enough meat on the bone for both him and Gronk to be successful all season long. It’s impossible to cover both of these beasts at the same time. The Black Unicorn makes for another great start at home against an up and down Bengals defense. I think they focus on stopping Gronk which opens it up for Martellus again this week. 6-90-1 is totally doable.
Coby Fleener: $3,500 vs. Carolina (Home)
I want some part of the passing game for the Saints this week and Fleener provides the cheapest way to do that. He is seeing consistent targets and would have had a TD in the last game but John Kuhn had to get in the way. I hate that guy. I look for Fleener to go 5-50-1 and that’s all you need in your tight end to put up a top ten week. Sad but true.
Pittsburgh: $3,400 vs. Miami (Road)
Miami’s offense sucks. Start all defenses against them. That is all.
Los Angeles: $2,900 vs. Detroit (Road)
The Rams are probably going to be without Trumaine Johnson and Robert Quinn this week but I still like the Rams to hold the Lions to about twenty points. Their sack potential is great and I expect Stafford to turn it over a time or two. Good upside here at a decent price.
Baltimore: $2,600 vs. New York Giants (Road)
Eli Manning has two touchdown passes total in his last four games and the Giants haven’t been running the ball effectively as of late. I don’t think this a bounce back week for them. Ravens have been a good unit this year and to me are very under priced this week.
That wraps up week six! If you have any questions please shoot us an email at firstname.lastname@example.org or feel free to send me a tweet @dafantasyfather Good luck and let’s win some money!!!