The Waiver Wire – Week 12
Happy Thanksgiving edition of my weekly article to you The Waiver Wire! As we look to gather with friends and family and sit down to great food I am thankful for our great staff here at The Fantasy Football Gurus. Who each week bring you some of the best fantasy content on the interwebs and of course you the reader! Without you, this all wouldn’t be possible and would be a major waste of my time and I hate wasting my time. I mean it’s the worst so thank you for reading and following us all year long! With that being said we must not lose focus on the prize in which we have all worked so hard on, making the playoffs!
With only two weeks left starting on Turkey day we who are scratching and clawing to get in need to get a win this week to have any shot of either securing a playoff spot or setting them self up for a win and get in scenario in week 13. If you play in a week 17 championship you are still in scratching and clawing to make the playoffs but should get out of your league! Week 17 championships are lame.
In a cruel twist, week 11 did bring on some big injuries which will greatly impact their owners. Robert Woods who is a top 15 WR this year is going to be sidelined for a few weeks with a serious shoulder injury which he sustained late in the Rams loss to the Vikings. The other marquee injury was to Chris Thompson a top 12 RB who broke his fibula in the Redskins loss to the Saints and will miss the rest of the season. The other injuries to note Kelvin Benjamin injured his right knee, no timetable has been given on the injury, D’onta Foreman tore his achilles on a touchdown run and will miss the remainder of the season, and Jay Cutler is the NFL’s concussion protocol after not playing at all in the second half Sunday. With so much on the line, this week throw me a Pillsbury crescent role and let’s jump right into it!
a disclaimer, all players must be owned by less than 60% of ESPN or Yahoo leagues. Ownership percentages are in parenthesizes. Below I have ranked the top 3 adds at each position with a bonus player or two sprinkled in throughout.
Tyrod Taylor (ESPN 48% / Yahoo 40%): Oh Buffalo have we learned from our mistake? After Nathan Peterman’s historic collapse on the road in LA the Bills turned back to TyGod who turned one half into a QB1 performance in week 11. Taylor hasn’t been named the starter as of the time I am writing this but we all would be shocked if Peterman sees’s the field at all the rest of this season barring an injury. With KC up next Tyrod has a plus matchup on the road as he eyes his 3rd straight QB1 finish.
Andy Dalton (ESPN 39% / Yahoo 52%): Dalton took advantage of a bad Broncos team and on the road delivered a QB1 performance in week 11. Nothing Dalton did Sunday was amazing but he has now gone 4 straight weeks without an interception and back to back weeks with multiple touchdowns. Cleveland has given up the 7th most fantasy points to QB’s but has played better as of late. You can do much worse then Dalton in week 12 if you need him.
Case Keenum (ESPN 34% / Yahoo 40%): In the early turkey day game Minnesota travels to Detroit and in a battle of two playoff-bound teams. Keenum has looked great two weeks in a row and posted a nice performance against a very good Rams defense. Detroit in order from week 8 through 11 Big Ben, Brent Hundley, Deshone Kizer, and Mitchell Trubisky. During those 4 weeks, the Lions are giving up on average over 18 points to QB’s which would rank them in the top 10 for most fantasy points allowed. I like Keenum with his full complement of weapons to hit the 18 point average.
Bonus: Joe Flacco (ESPN 8% / Yahoo 14%): Based squarely on the matchup the Flock of Seagulls will face his easiest passing test of the season Monday night in primetime vs the Texans. Houston who has given up the 3rd most points to QB this year and Blaine Gabbert just put up a top 15 performance against them. Flacco is tough to trust especially when you see his stat line from this past Sunday but trust the numbers on this one. Flacco will have his best week of the season!
Samaje Perine (ESPN 28% / Yahoo 35%): Coming into week 11 we all knew Perine would see a bump in volume with the designation to the IR for Rob Kelley but Perine exploded seeing 69% of the carries in Sunday’s road loss. I know that was also aided by the loss of Chris Thompson but moving forward Perine has little competition for carries and should see high carry volume. Let’s also not forget that Perine Broke out on the usage finishing as a top 10 RB in week 11. Up next is the GMen on turkey day in primetime. All the Giants have done is give up the 3rd most rushing yards per game over their past three (160.7) & on the season are ranked 30th in rushing yards allowed (132.7). Perine owners are going to be very thankful for the matchup.
Corey Clement (ESPN 5% / Yahoo 10%): Philly truly implements a RBBC but Clement has found a nice role and is attached to the #1 scoring offense in the league (32 ppg). Clement who has now found the end zone in back to back weeks and is seeing the 2nd most snaps per game of the group. Chicago is very good against the run but Clement could be a weapon in the passing attack an area the Bears have shown they can be beaten in. Clement should provide a safe floor which puts him on the flex map weekly with upside.
Devontae Booker (ESPN 9% / Yahoo 7%): A fan favorite of our very own @DaFantasyFather Booker was a pleasant surprise out snapping CJ Anderson (48 to 29) for the first time all year. At this stage of the season, it would be smart of the Broncos organization to see what they have in Devontae Booker and continue to use him over Anderson down the stretch. If that is the case Booker immediately needs to see his ownership rise as it presents a safe floor with his pass catching ability.
Josh Doctson (ESPN 29% / Yahoo 28%): In what might not be the consensus way to go I think Doctson is the top option for WR needy teams on the waiver wire this week. Since week 8 only Jamison Crowder has more targets (22) and yards (171) then Doctson and over that same amount of time Doctson is tied for the team lead at WR for touchdowns. Doctson is the #2 option behind a very depleted Redskins offensive core. A core that is still without Jordan Reed and has just lost both Chris Thompson and Terrelle Pryor to the IR. On Turkey day the Redskins welcome the 28th ranked pass defense over the past three weeks (276.0) the New York Giants. I hope Doctson leaves room for seconds because he going to eat!
Corey Coleman (ESPN / Yahoo 32%): Coleman is back and was inserted right back into the offense with no limitations. Coleman was on the field for 93% (51) of the Browns offensive snaps and saw a team-high in targets (11), Rec (6), and yards (80). You have to love the volume even if the situation isn’t great. I think Coleman provides a little more weekly stability than our next two options but understand the boom potential they provide you being in better offenses.
Kenny Stills (ESPN 27% / Yahoo 38%): Your #3 WR for Week 11 at the point of writing this (no MNF) Stills exploded in the 2nd half once Matt Moore was behind center for the Dolphins. Outside of the phenomenal performance against the Buccaneers (7/180/1) Stills has seen 20 targets over his past 3 games and leads the Dolphins in receiving yards (275), yards per reception (18.3), and catch rate (75%). Stills comes with volatility similar to a Ted Ginn but if you need a big hit there isn’t a much better option on the wire in week 11.
Bonus: Mike Wallace (ESPN 34% / Yahoo 25%): It pains me to put Mike Wallace on here as much as it pains you to think we have sunken this low to think about starting him in a must-win week 12 matchup. Welcome to hell population you, me, and Wallace. Let’s be honest Wallace lead the Ravens in receiving yards in week 11 (this is like being the skinniest kid at fat camp) and Houston is 30th in the league over the past three weeks against the pass which we mentioned in Flacco pants write up. Houston is giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to WR’s and is allowing on average 26.78 pts against per game. Fire up the Ravens offense (Danny Woodhead!) on Monday night!
Charles Clay (ESPN 49% / Yahoo 33%): Clay should have knocked the rust off he may have had after sitting out 3 weeks and the Bills bye after his knee surgery and the Peterman era this past Sunday and looks to get back on track in a week 12 battle at Kansas City. Clay is nowhere near his season snap average (89%) as the coaching staff has been easing him back in. With Taylor behind center, Clay is an every week starter with TE1 upside.
Tyler Kroft (ESPN 44% / Yahoo 45%): Kroft did his job last week for all those owners who love to live the stream by scoring a TD in the 1st quarter. To put an exclamation point on the trash heap that is the TE position this year in fantasy, Krofts 12 yards & 1 TD were good enough for TE 11 last week. Cleveland has given up a touchdown in 3 straight weeks to a TE and on the season they have given up 8 TDs!
Adam Shaheen (ESPN 1% / Yahoo 1%): Finally in week 11 Shaheen took over as the primary TE for the Bears seeing the highest snap share at the position (75%). Shaheen turned that team leading snap share into the TE 3 performance of Week 11 (41 yards & 1 TD) and looks to be the TE to own in a Bears offense which has begun to open up their rookie QB.
Defenses to Stream
New England Patriots (ESPN 42% / Yahoo 58%) vs Mia
Cincinnati Bengals (ESPN 62% / Yahoo 41%) vs Cle
Los Angeles Chargers (ESPN 52% / Yahoo 35%) vs Dal
Oakland Raiders (ESPN 5% / Yahoo 15%) vs Den
Kickers to Stream
Chris Boswell (ESPN 68% / Yahoo 58%) vs GB
Adam Vinateri (ESPN 45% / Yahoo 38%) vs Ten
Brandon McManus (ESPN 22% / Yahoo 32%) vs Oak
Nick Novak (ESPN 1% / Yahoo 2%) vs Dal
That will do it for week 12. Have a Happy Thanksgiving everyone and enjoy some turkey day football! Do you need EVEN more fantasy advice? You can find us on Twitter @TFFGurus or feel free to email us at TrophyTime@TFFGurus.com. I will see you all next Tuesday for another edition of The Waiver Wire. Best of luck this week and remember championships are won on The Waiver Wire!