The Waiver Wire – Week 10
Happy Election Day everyone and WE MADE IT!!! We just saw back to back weeks with 6 teams on bye and we can celebrate that it is all behind us. We have only 3 weeks left of bye’s to deal with and only 4 more weeks until the fantasy playoffs start in traditional leagues. For all you week 17 championship leagues out there the strategy this time of the year doesn’t change and you should be looking to the waiver wire to catch those lighting in a bottle type players and situationally primetime handcuffs (I have talked at length how I don’t believe in the process of handcuffs). Now more than ever you need to begin to have your core starting lineup set for a long playoff run and be eyeing that one or two guys who might have a dream matchup in a position you need it the most.
Also, the trade deadline is right around the corner so if you can’t get the guy you are looking for via the Waiver Wire you always have that avenue to go down. Just don’t give up the world for a player who might only find your lineup once in the next 7 to 8 weeks. This week things are back to normal as we only have 4 teams on bye; Buffalo, Detroit, Indianapolis, Oakland so plan accordingly.
Like always I will give 3 choices at each position (plus bonus’s from time to time). This is ranked in order of who I would target first to third. At the end of the day you control your waiver rankings, so go get the guy you want! Without further hesitation let’s dive right into this weeks The Waiver Wire.
- Joe Flacco (ESPN 26% / Yahoo 25%) – Joey Flock of Seagulls is once again a great bye week plug in play. He doesn’t have the long-term values of some others on the list but when the Browns are up next at home in primetime, then you have to talk about him. Only Ryan Fitzpatrick hasn’t been able to throw at least two touchdowns against the horrendous Browns secondary.
- Trevor Siemian (ESPN 16% / Yahoo 14%) – Ok Yes Siemian was bad last week and yes it seems like he has been off now for over a month but when you actually take a closer look at his stats from Sunday night’s matchup vs Oakland it wasn’t that bad in the numbers that matter most to fantasy owners. 283 yards, 2 touchdowns and only 1 interception. If there is any team in football that can help you string back to back multi-touchdown games it’s the New Orleans Saints who are giving up staggering 300 yards per game to quarterbacks. Play the matchup, not the past performance here.
- Tyrod Taylor (ESPN 56% / Yahoo 62%) – The long-term candidate in this pool of player, TyGod has been playing well as of late and balled out Monday Night against a Seattle Seahawks team that has given up the fewest points in the league and it was in Seattle! Very impressive performance and just like last year, Taylor looks to be a great QB option down the home stretch who you can count on to get you between 18 and 25 points a week.
*BONUS: Jay Cutler (ESPN 8% / Yahoo 9%) – The wild card of the weekend, Jay Cutler can full you into thinking he is back playing at a high level and then his performance will fall off a cliff. You are playing the matchup here as Tampa Bay has given up the 5th most points to fantasy quarterbacks and have allowed 18 passing touchdowns.
- Dion Lewis (ESPN 30% / Yahoo 40%) – This time the long term play beats out the immediate impact / potential long term guy. Lewis is set to come off the PUP list this week and should be out there Sunday night against the Seattle Seahawks. The same Seattle Seahawks that just gave up a total of 120 yards to LeSean McCoy. Trust me Lewis isn’t going to come back and set the world on fire (at least I don’t think he will) and it will take a few games to get his legs under him but when he does you have yourself a solid flex if not RB 2 that you picked up in week 10. The Patriots want Lewis back out on the field you might as well take a swing and see what happens.
- Kapri Bibbs (ESPN 5% / Yahoo 7%) – Bibbs had the most impressive pitch and catch of the entire game Sunday breaking off a beautiful 69-yard touchdown late in the 3rd quarter. Booker has been ineffective since taking over the lead job and that leads to a potential time share in Denver which could happen as quickly as this weekend vs the Saints (Google DuJuan Harris Stats vs New Orleans). Great matchup for Bibbs to get things started and then maybe he is the long term solution but no one really knows. So immediate impact should make him your #1 waiver claim but just be aware he just like Booker might not be able to succeed.
- Chris Ivory (ESPN 42% / Yahoo 34%) – Finally Chris Ivory has himself a great game. Ivory finally was the running back we all wanted during the September and October of last year. New Offensive Coordinators strike instant value into struggling fantasy stars and this one is no different. I like Ivory to at least keep up the workload and production this week against Houston.
*BONUS: Rob Kelley (ESPN 26% / Yahoo 30%) – Kelley has been named the starter and will get a chance to secure the job Sunday but it will not be easy. The Redskins have the Vikings in town Sunday and outside of Jordan Howard, no RB has scored more than 18 points against them. Better long term investment then short with Rob Kelley.
- Rishard Matthews (ESPN 11% / Yahoo 29%) – Jesus the Tennessee Titans might have the hottest offense in the NFL right now next to the Atlanta Falcons and the scheduling gods just keep on giving. Green Bay is up next and they have been getting torched this season through the air giving up 11 touchdowns so far this year. Matthews is coming off a 2 touchdown game and has scored a touchdown in 4 of his last 5 games. Look for him to continue the streak Sunday afternoon.
- Robert Woods (ESPN 15% / Yahoo 11%) – Robert Woods just like Tyrod Taylor was extremely impressive against one of the best passing defenses in the league. Woods posted a stat line of 10 for 162 on 13 targets and he leads the team in both catches and targets. A long term plays here like everyone on this list. I like Woods to continue to produce in this new offensive system.
- Steve Smith Sr (ESPN 53% / Yahoo 51%) – He FINALLY returned after missing 2 games and a bye week with a high ankle sprain, Smith came back and was able to complete the game with no setbacks. His stat line isn’t impressive but his 7 targets are healthy and with Cleveland up next and one game under his belt to knock the rust off, look for Steve Smith to be a major weapon for the Ravens down the stretch. It will start with a potential monster game against the browns Thursday Night.
*BONUS: Taylor Gabriel (ESPN 1% / Yahoo 1%) – With two back to back double digit fantasy performances under his belt Taylor Gabriel is definitely worth taking a look out depending how deep your league is and depending on how beat up you are this week with byes. Gabriel found the end zone on Thursday Night and once again has a shot to see the same amount of workload and a shot at the end zone as the Falcons travel to face the Eagles. A long shot but that offensive is clicking right now and games against NO and SF at home in the playoffs is appealing.
- Jason Witten (ESPN 78% / Yahoo 79%) – Holy Witten Batman!! I guess Jamie Collins can’t guard the Tight End after all because the grandfather was out there making him look silly. Witten ended the day with a stat line of 8/134/1 on 10 targets. That’s back to back games that Jason Witten has found the end zone and I don’t think I can remember the last time that happened. A young quarterbacks favorite target is his tight end and Dak has been relying on Witten more and more as the season has moved on. Tougher matchups ahead but Witten is a safe floor play down the stretch.
- Zach Ertz (ESPN 53% / Yahoo 56%) – Ertz finally broke out in a Wentz lead game plan against the G-Men posting 8 catches on 8 targets for 97 yards. This was easily Ertz best game of the season and up next is Atlanta at home who has given up a touchdown to a TE in 6 of the 9 games they have played this year. Great spot start if you need it and potential long-term value as well.
- Zach Miller (ESPN 59% / Yahoo 54%) – Another Zach on our list and once again he is coming off a great game. Miller looked right at home with a Jay Cutler run offense and posted a nice stat line two weeks ago of 7 catches for 88 yards on a healthy 10 targets. I like Miller’s fantasy value more with Cutler behind center and this week’s matchup is a juicy one as Tampa Bay has given up a touchdown in 3 of its last 4 games and 2 in a row.
- Baltimore Ravens (ESPN 49% / Yahoo 42%) – The Ravens are coming off a big divisional win over the Steelers and in doing so the defense posted it’s fourth double-digit fantasy performance of the year. The secondary was able to hold the explosive Steelers offense in check for most of the game and even were able to turn Big Ben over. Up next is the Browns at home in primetime it’s almost a lock they bring one to the house.
- San Diego Chargers (ESPN 54% / Yahoo 39%) – I love the way the Chargers have been playing on defense these past two weeks and their fantasy production proves it. Back to back double digit performances and back to back touchdowns. Are they going to get into shootouts? probably but they create turnovers, sack the QB and capitalize on TO’s by bringing them to the house! Miami at home looks like the makings it three games in a row of double-digit outings.
- Los Angeles Rams (ESPN 30% / Yahoo 66%) – The Rams are a great defense who just got their best cornerback last week. They had 5 sacks of Cam Newton Sunday and get to play the hubbled Ryan Fitzpatrick this week. They might double that sack total and most likely will pick captain Fitzpatrick off once if not twice.
- Nick Novak (ESPN 12% / Yahoo 14%) – Novak has a great matchup against the Jaguars this week in Jacksonville. The Jags are giving up the most points to kickers on the season and just last week Cairo Santos had a 15 point game. That marked 6 straight weeks with a kicker getting double digit points when they face the Jaguars.
- Chandler Catanzaro (ESPN 18% / Yahoo 19%) – Arizona needs a win badly and you know they are happy to see the 49ers on their schedule this week. The Cardinals are going to be coming off a bye and are playing at home. I like Catanzaro to break double digits this week.
- Will Lutz (ESPN 29% / Yahoo 12%) – Lutz has been on fire lately and he gets to move back indoors into his comfy kicking conditions of the Superdome. New Orleans has a tough test against Denver but if anything Lutz should see plenty of field goal opportunities as the coaching staff will be looking to not leave any points off the board in this one. Great spot start and he could end with the best score of the week for his position.
Well there you have it, The Waiver Wire for this week is in the books. I will see you all next Tuesday for another edition! Remember to send us your lineup questions on Twitter @TFFGurus, @DaFantasyFather, and @TheFantasyBoys. Or if you want to go old school shoot us an email at firstname.lastname@example.org or check out our Facebook page called The Fantasy Football Gurus. We’re here to help you, and if you need more Guru help, be sure to listen to our weekly podcasts by checking out Trophy Time on Google Play, Sticher Radio, and iTunes.