The Trade Report – Week 4 Buys and Sells
Week 3 was as wacky a weekend as I’ve seen in the NFL. I hope you survived some putrid weeks from stud quarterbacks. Brady, Wentz, Luck, and Cousins all had brutal games. Fortunately, I have some Buys and Sells to give you a leg up on rebounding to eat that week 4 W.
- Matt Breida (SF): I hope you bought Breida pre-season when I told you to because it’s about to pay off even more. The Jerrick McKinnon injury was an obvious boost to his value. However, the Jimmy Garoppolo ACL tear will increase Breida’s value even further. Not only is Breida tied with Zeke Elliott for the league lead in rushing, but Breida is about to gobble up check down passes from backup quarterback C.J. Beathard. I can see Breida churning out back end RB1 numbers the rest of the season. Buy him.
- Julian Edelman (NE): I know he isn’t due back till week 5. However, Tom Brady and the Patriots need him. Badly. For the first few weeks of the season, Patriots’ receivers have only 24 receptions for 240 yards. Last time Edelman started the season with Brady(2015), in his first 3 games, he caught 30 balls for 279 yards. When he comes back, he’s going to jump up to a WR2 in PPR formats. Buy him now, while his owner may be tired of him chilling in the IR spot.
- Kenny Golladay (Det): Golladay was given the nickname “Baby-Tron” after former Detroit stud receiver Calvin Johnson (nicknamed Megatron). Golladay is earning that nickname. So far this year, Golladay leads Detroit receivers in PPR scoring and is currently WR12. That already sounds like a high price to pay for a 2nd-year receiver in only his sophomore season. I’m here to tell you that it will pay off, both this year and beyond. Golladay already looks like Detroit’s best receiver, and with his increased role and Matt Stafford’s trust, Golladay’s arrow is pointed up. By this time next year, Golladay will be talked about as a top 12 dynasty WR. If I’m in a redraft league, I’m looking to buy from an owner who thinks the Detroit WR corp is too crowded. If I’m in a dynasty league, I’m willing to overpay for Golladay now, because next year the price will be too high.
- Will Fuller: Fuller is the ultimate sell high. Much like when I told you to sell Watson because he’s bound to regress, I feel the same way about Fuller. In games that Watson has started(6), Fuller is averaging over 21 points per game in PPR formats. In games without Watson, Fuller averages ~7.4 points. While Watson is healthy, I like having Fuller in my line-up, but with Watson’s style of play and Houston’s poor offensive line, missing time seems inevitable. I don’t like predicting injuries, but I’d rather hitch my wagon to a receiver in a more stable situation and I’m sure you could get a nice return for Fuller at this point. I’m selling high.
- Nelson Agholor: Wentz’s return saw a massive target share shift to the Philadelphia tight ends. During the first two weeks of the season, Agholor saw 22 targets. Last week, Agholor saw 5 targets while Ertz and Goedert combined for 17! Even their 3rd string tight end, Josh Perkins, saw 4 targets. With Wentz’s known reliance on the tight ends and Alshon Jeffrey coming back soon, I am selling Agholor before it’s too late.
- Desean Jackson: Jackson, after leading the league in receiving yards after week 2, fell back down to earth in Week 3. After totaling 275 yards and 3 touchdowns in the first two weeks, Jackson only had 3 catches for 37 yards in week 3. It’s no coincidence that Ryan Fitzpatrick seemed to lose his Fitzmagic as well in week 3. With Jameis Winston coming back, Fitzpatrick is either going to lose his job or feel the pressure of a short leash. Jackson will return to the unreliable target he was last year soon enough. Get out while you still can.
I hope you enjoyed my article and I hope some of these Buys and Sells help you out. What did you think? Did I miss someone? If you want to let me know where I was wrong or if you’re just looking for free fantasy football advice, you can find me on Twitter @Sam_Wise730 or you could use our company handle @tffgurus. Also, feel free to check out the podcast page @trophytimepod and shoot us a follow. See you next week.