Hogs & Dogs: Week 16
It’s been a long, windy road, but championship week is finally among us. If you’ve made it this far, job well done, my friend. Making the championship or third place game is no small feat, and while a lot of fantasy football is pure coincidence and luck, there is still a level of skill that constitutes making it this far. At this point, you obviously have a good feeling of your team and the level of risk you are willing to take that comes with each player and strategy. Something that isn’t stressed enough throughout fantasy football is going with your gut. It’s going to be correct just as much as the majority of analysts, and at the end of the day, you’ll be able to live with yourself a lot easier than if you go against what your gut is telling you. But, when your gut isn’t telling you what to do, trot on over to the TFFGurus website and the Hogs & Dogs article, to give you the insight you need to make your tough start and sit decisions.
This is our weekly start and sit article that we get out to you before the Thursday night game. While discussing starts and sits in Hogs and Dogs, we also like to sprinkle in some buy lows, sell highs, who’s hot/cold, and contrarian views that might not exactly mesh with what the majority of other experts are saying. We like to give you a different perspective of the NFL while also delivering some helpful advice that can translate to success in your leagues. Without further ado, let’s get this show on the road.
Ben Roethlisberger – The most frequent visitor on the list this year, Grand ole Benjamin has been playing some pretty good football as of late. He gets Houston and then Cleveland at home to round out the season. And for those worried about Ben’s home-away splits, he’s playing in a primetime game, so that should put those concerns to rest.
Cam Newton – The Bucs have nothing to really play for, other than draft position. And while they gave the Falcons more than they bargained for on Monday night, I don’t see them duplicating that performance at all, especially with those injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Newton is a great option at QB for your championship.
Ezekiel Elliott – He’s back this week, so you’re obviously starting him. Seattle was just slash and burned by Todd Gurley, which Zeke should replicate. Plug him in and reap the benefits if you made it this far!
Joe Mixon – I actually really like the matchup this week even if he shares duties with Gio. I think he’ll see more of the reps and Detroit has been getting gashed on the ground as I’ve mentioned a few times this year.
Kenyan Drake – Keep firing up DaFantasyFather’s favorite marathon rapper.
Chris Hogan – If he’s back, I think he could be a sneaky WR3. It’s extremely hard to predict who the weapons of choice will be for the Pats, but I’d be willing to take my chance in a bit of a revenge game. Obviously that narrative is always overstated, but the Patriots are going to put the hammer down on the Bills and expose Tre’Davious White for his poor choice of words after their last meeting. It’s also not out of the realm of possibility that Gronk sits for extensive parts of the game if it’s a blowout, since the Bills might go after him.
Martavis Bryant/JuJu Smith-Schuster – As we will discuss on this week’s podcast, both have some significant fantasy value with AB out of the lineup until the NFL playoffs. Big Ben has been playing some great football of late, so you can plug both in as WR2s this week versus a beaten down Houston defense.
Mike Wallace – One of the original boom or bust options has established himself as the primary option in the Baltimore offense. Facing another poor defense in the Colts, Wallace should eat them alive, like a raven to a carcass!
Greg Olsen – So much for last week. I dropped him in the two leagues I had him because his foot didn’t look right and I thought he was cooked until next year. Nope. Saw 12 targets and turned that into nine receptions for a buck-16 and a touchdown. Tough matchup on paper for tight ends against Tampa, but Cam will feature him and the Bucs have allowed the most passing yards in the league.
Marcus Mariota – Yet to clear 20 fantasy points in a game so far this year, Mariota has two must sit matchups on the docket. The Rams, and their big play defense, and then the Jaguars, who he somehow beat back in week two but only scored 13 fantasy points.
Jamaal Williams/Aaron Jones/Jordy Nelson/Randall Cobb – The only startable fantasy option here is Davante Adams, who still needs to pass concussion protocol. Aside from him, I don’t think you can trust anyone else. But, if you’ve been riding the Jamaal Williams train, I could see how maybe you plug him in as no more than an RB3 with Aaron Jones back in the mix.
Isaiah Crowell – Crowell has been adequate at times this year, though he certainly hasn’t lived up his third round draft capital. This week he faces a stingy Chicago run defense, pushing him into RB3 territory. He’s not worth the risk of just five possible carries again this week.
Jordan Howard – You’ll hear his name extensively on this week’s pod, and while Josh may suggest starting him this week, I cannot get myself to agree with him. He’s been held to 38 yards or fewer in three of his last four tilts, making him an extremely risky play. But, if things don’t go your way Saturday and you need that boom play, Howard is your man.
C.J. Anderson – I think he’ll follow up his solid Thursday night performance with a dud on Sunday. He’s been extremely inconsistent this year and the Washington defense is no slouch. When Osweiler starts struggling, as I predict will be the case this week, then the rest of the offense becomes stagnant.
Robby Anderson – No Josh McCown means no Robby A. With Bryce Petty under center against a very strong Chargers’ unit, Anderson is not worth starting whatsoever. It’s possible he hits a big play on some busted coverage, but Petty is not a good quarterback and Anderson isn’t a complete receiver.
Devante Parker – The talent has always been there, but there just seems to be a piece of his game that he can’t get figured out. Parker hasn’t found the endzone since week three, and even in a plus matchup against Kansas City, Parker cannot be trusted at all. The KC defense has played better of last and there’s also about zero percent chance that he pops, making him a boom-or-average play.
Stefon Diggs – Diggs has eclipsed 100 yards just once this season back in week three, and his highest yardage total since week five is 78. He is merely a WR3 for me this week with Adam Thielen being the preferred target of Case Keenum. I still believe in Diggs long term, but outside of two early weeks this season, he hasn’t done much.
Marquise Goodwin – Been as consistent as it gets over the past six weeks and now has Jimmy G under center, who he’s been even better with. But, I think the buck stops here. San Fran faces Jacksonville, which means all your San Fran fantasy options should be firmly planted on the pine.
And that’ll wrap us up. Best of luck to everyone this week. We’re here to have fun and we’re here to help you. So, if you can’t get enough of the Guru family, be sure to check out all our great content below. We’re everywhere, so come get in on the action!
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