Hogs & Dogs: Week 13
Alright, alright, alright. We’re on to week 13, the last week of most of our regular seasons. It’s time to put all the chips on the table and get yourself into the playoffs. Personally, I will be scrapping to hold onto the sixth seed in a few leagues, which I’m sure many of you are facing as well. Obviously, a lot of it is left up to luck, since none of us could perfectly predict what will happen each weekend. But, that is where the Gurus come in; to provide you with the best analysis and opinions out there. So, make sure to periodically check out our website, TFFGurus.com, so you can make the most up to date decisions for your fantasy squads. With a lot on the line this week in potential make or break games, make sure to also check where you stand in terms of your league’s tiebreakers. You may think a win gets you in, but if someone has more points and the same record, you could be screwed. So, if you need the big week, you may be more apt to play more or bust guys, such as Marquise Goodwin and Sammy Watkins. Just a little something to keep in mind.
This is our weekly start and sit article that we want to get out to you before the Thursday night game. While discussing starts and sits in Hogs and Dogs, we also like to sprinkle in some buy lows, sell highs, who’s hot/cold, and contrarian views that might not exactly mesh with what the majority of other experts are saying. We like to give you a different perspective of the NFL while also delivering some helpful advice that can translate to success in your leagues. So, without further ado, let’s get this show on the road.
Case Keenum – Just keep plugging him in until he gives you a reason not to. He’s led this team incredibly over the past few weeks and at this point Teddy Bridgewater might actually be a downgrade! He’s put up at least 17 points in his last four games and gets a mediocre Atlanta defense this time around. Skol!
Lamar Miller – Your number ten running back on the season, and a model of consistency, Lamar Miller gets two pretty tasty matchups over the next two weeks. First, it’s Tennessee followed up by San Francisco, who have yielded the most fantasy points to running backs all season. Keep him fired up as a top of the line RB2.
Tyreek Hill – One of these weeks will be the KC bounce back week. Hill has been a bit up and down all year but still comes in as your number 11 receiver. The Chiefs would be smart to get the ball into the hands of arguably their best playmaker. You’re definitely not benching him and it’s only a matter of time before we get another blow up game from Reek.
Jamison Crowder – As solid as it gets over his past four games, Crowder has reemerged as Cousins’ favorite target. He’s seen 42 targets over that time and with the loss of Chris Thompson a few weeks ago, Crowder will continue to gobble up throws from Cousins. Josh Doctson has been coming on as of late, but his not seeing nearly as many targets as Crowder is.
Marquise Goodwin – Mentioned his boom or bust potential at the beginning of the article, so you know what you’re getting with him. With Jimmy G tossing the pigskin this week for San Fran, that could definitely help his case. I could get on board with him as a WR3 this week, albeit risky.
Miami Dolphins – I’ll tackle another defense this week, though this one is a tad bit riskier. The reeling Dolphins get the reeling Broncos in Miami, with the Broncos having to travel to the east coast for a 1pm game. We all know what this means. Miami is a good-not-great streaming option this week, in what could be a field position/turnover battle.
Oakland Raiders – Late addition to the list and we all know why. No Eli Manning, who himself is turnover prone, but can’t be nearly as bad as Geno Smith. Turnovers aplenty in this one.
Dak Prescott – We preach it all season long, but to reiterate, we want to see it before we believe it. So even though Washington might look like a decent matchup for Dak and the ‘Boys, it’ll be hard to trust him without seeing him do it once. I think the loss of Zeke has been overstated and that Alfred Morris has actually looked pretty good filling in for him. But until we see a bounce back game from Dakota, he will remain on the dusty oak.
Russell Wilson – The man has been carrying this team the entire season and is currently the number one QB on the season. I sure wish I pulled the trigger on trades for him at the beginning of the season. He’s a magician in the pocket but they have really yet to face a front seven as dominant as Philadelphia’s. We’ve seen this offensive line struggle with everyone most of the season, but they’re going to look like absolute swiss cheese this week. I’d be a bit conflicted to start him, as hard as that might be.
Devonta Freeman – I would very hesitant to immediately plug Freeman back into your lineup. Tevin Coleman has played well in his absence and at the least earned himself a 50-50 timeshare with Freeman. The Falcons also have to play the Vikings staunch defense this week. At best I think he’s an RB3/flex option this week.
Josh Gordon – We all want to put our shiny (and somewhat) new toy to use, but let’s give it a week first, shall we? This is the extreme definition of boom or bust, and unless you need that Hail Mary to get you into the playoffs you shouldn’t be starting him.
Corey Davis – With the inefficient play of Marcus Mariota, this is another one where I’m going to holdout for the breakout game. I’ve been high on him this year, but the Titans’ offense is not the beast that we thought it would be this year. Davis also only saw four targets last week, which isn’t very promising.
Greg Olsen – I was ready to be all in on the second half comeback tour, especially after grabbing him a few weeks before his return in some leagues. Unfortunately, he reinjured his foot last week against the Jets. Even though it looks like he’ll play this weekend, he most likely won’t be 100% and you’re taking a huge risk if he happens to injury it a third time. I don’t think he’ll be able to help us for another week or two.
Ricky Seals-Jones – My man, RSJ. He played eight snaps two weeks ago and 17 this past weekend. So, yes, his snaps are definitely going up. But, no I am not plugging him into my lineups this week. Jermaine Gresham saw 45 and 50 snaps and Troy Niklas saw 17 and 27 snaps over the same period. Seals-Jones needs to see more of the field to have some traction in my book.
That’ll wrap us up. Best of luck to everyone this week. We’re here to have fun and we’re here to help you. So, if you can’t get enough of the Guru family, be sure to check out all our great content below. We’re everywhere, so come get in on the action!
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