Doug’s Draftkings Player Picks Week Three
Week three is upon us already and while my Washington and Niners stacks were dead in the water last week I was still able to provide you with some good starts for your Draftkings lineups. My goal is for every pick to be a “touchdown” and while I know how insanely difficult that may be to pull off I still try my hardest to provide you with the best information possible. Best of luck this week!
As a way to hold myself accountable to myself and you, the reader, I will provide a weekly recap of the previous weeks player picks. I find that accountability is important in this industry as too many writers, podcasters and “experts” throw things at a wall and see if they stick and are quick to tout their “wins” but never talk about the “losses” or “misses”. Both you and I know nobody is perfect at predicting what is going to happen week to week but I think some reflection is due when you whiff on a player or team pick for the week. I will break these down into three categories: Touchdowns are players that finished in the top 10 at their respective position or produced 3-5X their value. First Downs are players that didn’t hurt you in your lineup and had average results based on cost. Punts are the players that I completely whiffed on and did not help you in any way, shape or form. They happen, it’s part of the game. If I did a bad job picking them I’m going to own up to it!
Touchdowns: Christian McCaffrey, Will Fuller V, L.A. Chargers D
First Downs: Jimmy Garoppolo, Tyrod Taylor, James Conner, Tevin Coleman, James White, Jordan Reed, Tampa D
Punts: Alex Smith, Jamison Crowder, Dante Pettis, George Kittle, Jonnu Smith, Minnesota D
Deshaun Watson: $6,100 vs. New York Giants (Home)
If you own Watson is season long leagues you are probably questioning your decision on using a high round draft pick on him. As far a daily fantasy goes this is a match up that should bring back some of those 2017 memories. A dual threat QB coming off of a multiple TD game after a dismal opening week against New England has the arrow pointing up on Watson in week 3.
Matt Ryan: $5,700 vs. New Orleans (Home)
Even coming off of a four touchdown game, Ryan is undervalued this week at home against a shaky New Orleand defense. I don’t expect him to run for two scores in a game ever again but his passing numbers should be healthy enough for you to start him and pay up at some of the other key positions.
Andrew Luck: $5,600 vs. Philadelphia (Road)
Luck was fairly disappointing in week two making this a sneaky play as some people will be scared off due to the opponent and the fact that it’s a road game in a tough environment. I think Luck bounces back nicely against a bottom ranked Philadelphia secondary and his ownership should be fairly low, even at this bargain basement price.
Alvin Kamara: $9,500 vs. Atlanta (Road)
Normally I don’t pay up at the running back position but Kamara is one of the few slam dunk starts of the week. The Falcons were exploited in the short passing game last week by Cam Newton and Christian McCaffrey allowing Dairy Sanders to catch 14 passes on 15 targets for 102 yards. I love CMC and all but Kamara is on another level talent wise and he should be able to exploit the Falcons defense for 150 total yards from scrimmage or more with a couple of scores. All in this week. Bitchin Kamara!!!
Jordan Howard: $6,500 vs. Arizona (Road)
Arizona is really bad, like super duper bad. Howard only toted the rock 14 times on Monday night in a game they lead the majority of the way. Coach Nagy stated this week that he wants to get Howard more touches and I think he puts his money where his mouth is and Howard garners upwards to 25 touches and beats up on the sorry Cardinals defense.
Kareem Hunt: $6,000 vs. San Francisco (Home)
When I was doing my research for this weeks article Kareem Hunt stuck out like a sore thumb. I know he hasn’t received much usage in the passing game in the first two weeks but for a running back in a humming offense to only be priced at $6,000 that has definitely peaked my interest. I’m not a fan of the player but I’m putting my biases aside for one week at least because I recognize his monster ceiling at his bargain price.
Corey Clement: $4,300 vs. Indianapolis (Home)
Darren Sproles is most likely going to miss this game and Jay Ajayi is highly questionable leaving the only healthy running backs as Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood. If Ajayi indeed misses this game, Clement is your free square running back this week.
Tyreek Hill: $8,500 vs. San Francisco (Home)
There’s an argument for stacking the whole Chiefs offense this week against the 49ers. The Niners have struggled on the defensive side of the ball in terms of yards allowed. Hill has scored both weeks this year and nobody in the 49ers secondary has the type of speed to keep up with him. Another boom week is coming.
Keelan Cole: $5,600 vs. Tennessee (Home)
A little bit of recency bias with this pick. Cole popped off and destroyed the Patriots secondary and now he faces a unit that includes former Patriot Malcolm Butler who has been toasted more than Snoop Dogg over the first two weeks of the season. Leonard Fournette’s status is still up in the air so the Jags may lean a little more pass heavy once again.
Allen Robinson: $5,400 vs. Arizona (Road)
But Doug, what about Patrick Peterson? I know I know, he’s one of the leagues best corners. The Bears have been moving Robinson all over the field and he has been their clear target hog with 21 over the first two games. for $5,400 I’ll take a chance on the volume and the low ownership that Peterson usually provides. A great GPP play to sprinkle into your lineups.
Tyler Boyd: $3,700 vs. Carolina (Road)
More recency bias! Hey, I get it but Boyd is beyond cheap this week. Take a hail mary on a player in a favorable match up that produced last week. It’ll be fun!
George Kittle: $4,500 vs. Kansas City (Road)
Ok, I missed on Kittle last week but the tape reveals the opportunities were there so my love for George is holding true. The Chiefs just let Jesse James dog walk them so Kittle should turn the Chiefs into kibble this week.
Jack Doyle: $3,500 vs. Philadelphia (Road)
Currently on the injury report so keep an eye on the situation. If Doyle plays I love this spot for him against a soft linebacking corps.
Will Dissly: $3,000 vs. Dallas (Home)
Dissly has popped on to the scene with touchdowns in back to back weeks. Can he pull off the trifecta? I have no idea but the other cheap tight ends weren’t very desirable.
Minnesota: $4,300 vs. Buffalo (Home)
Buffalo scored 20 points last week! They will be lucky to score 10 this week. Sacks and turnovers, oh my!
Chicago: $3,500 vs. Arizona (Road)
The Rams shutout the Cards last week and things aren’t looking up for them this week either. Bear down!
Dallas: $2,200 vs. Seattle (Road)
There should be a fair share of sacks for the cowboys in this game and Seattle is really struggling on offense. Cheap D of the week.
That wraps up Doug’s Draftkings player picks for week three! If you have any questions please shoot us an email at firstname.lastname@example.org or feel free to send us a tweet @dafantasyfather, @TFFGurus. Good luck and let’s win some money!!!