Doug’s Draftkings Player Picks Week Nine

Week nine is upon us already! This year is flying by once again. This week presents a ton of value so you can build some really fun lineups. Do you want to stack the Rams and Saints game or maybe the Panthers and Buccaneers? You can do both of them rather affordably this week. You could always go contrarian and build a lineup around some players that you think won’t be highly owned in tournaments, like James Conner for example. Tricks and treats for everyone here in week nine!

As a way to hold myself accountable to myself and you, the reader, I will provide a weekly recap of the previous weeks player picks. I find that accountability is important in this industry as too many writers, podcasters and “experts” throw things at a wall and see if they stick and are quick to tout their “wins” but never talk about the “losses” or “misses”. Both you and I know nobody is perfect at predicting what is going to happen week to week but I think some reflection is due when you whiff on a player or team pick for the week. I will break these down into three categories: Touchdowns are players that finished in the top 10 at their respective position or produced 3-5X their value. First Downs are players that didn’t hurt you in your lineup and had average results based on cost. Punts are the players that I completely whiffed on and did not help you in any way, shape or form. They happen, it’s part of the game. If I did a bad job picking them I’m going to own up to it!

Touchdowns: Andrew Luck, Jared Goff, Kareem Hunt, Phillip Lindsay, A.J. Green, O.J. Howard, Pittsburgh D

First Downs: Robert Woods, Arizona D, Chiefs D

Punts: Jameis Winston, Raheem Mostert, Jordy Nelson, David Njoku, C.J. Uzomah

 

Quarterback:

Cam Newton: $6,600 vs Tampa Bay (Home)

Cam Newton will undoubtedly be the most owned Quarterback on the millionaire maker slate, and I don’t care. The chalk will taste good this week. Cam was in a “bad match up” last week against the Ravens and still smashed with a 28 point performance. The floor is wonderful and the ceiling is sky freaking high. Cash and tournament lineups should start with Cam.

Jared Goff: $6,000 vs. New Orleans (Road)

Mr. Goff appeared in this space last week and for good reason. He passed for 295 yards and three touchdowns. His price remains the same this week and he’s travelling to New Orleans which has the highest point total in Vegas this week. The Saints are fresh off giving up 359 yards and a couple of scores to Kirk Cousins. A shootout is likely so I love Goff again this week. A Goff, Gurley and either Woods or Cooks stack is a sharp play.

Alex Smith: $5,000 vs. Atlanta (Home)

Only averaging 15.3 Draftkings points a week, Smith has been a bit of a fantasy disappointment this year. The Falcons present a nice opportunity for Smith to bounce back. They are currently ranked 30th against the pass and the Redskins may have to pass more than they usually do in a game script where they could be trailing against the Falcons high flying offense. He’s lacking weapons due to injury but I’m willing to start Smith in a tournament or two.

 

Running Back:

James Conner: $7,200 vs. Baltimore (Road)

The last time Conner faced the Ravens he only carried the ball nine times for nineteen yards and caught three passes for twenty five yards. A complete bust of a week. This opens up an opportunity to start Conner in tournaments because he will be severely under owned. Conner has averaged 35 Draftkings points a week since that game a month ago.

Lamar Miller: $5,200 vs. Denver (Road)

At first glance of the name Lamar Miller I just wanna mumble the words “gross”. He’s coming off his best game of the season yardage wise and now faces a paper thin Broncos run defense. Add to that the fact the Texans lost Will Fuller for the season and they just traded for Demariyus Thomas who’ll need to learn a new offense on short notice and all of a sudden I’m warming up to Lamar. He has a safe floor for touches and should see some more work in the passing game.

Latavius Murray: $5,100 vs. Detroit (Home)

Much like Lamar Miller, Latavius Murray isn’t a sexy play. I don’t expect Dalvin Cook to return this week so the back field belongs to Murray once again. He put up twenty points last week and touched the ball eighteen times against the Saints. I like him to repeat that performance at least with the upside of rushing for 100 yards against a Lions defense that even after adding Damon Harrison struggled against the run by allowing 176 yards to the Seahawks.

 

Wide Receiver:

Michael Thomas: $7,600 vs. L.A. Rams (Home)

I love this spot for Michael Thomas to rebound. He was only targeted six times last week but caught five of them for eighty one yards. As I stated earlier this game has the highest projected point total in Vegas so Thomas should be a big part of the offense. I doubt we see Drew Brees pass for under 150 yards again. A return to double digit targets, 100 yards and a score make Thomas a must play in cash and tournament games.

D.J. Moore: $4,300 vs. Tampa Bay (Home)

With Torrey Smith (lol) out with any injury, D.J. Moore took full advantage of the opportunity turning five catches into ninety yards as well as adding two carries for thirty nine yards. He looked electric in space. I don’t see how the Panthers can put him back in the bottle at this point. Look for Moore to smash the Tampa secondary that just got lit up by Tyler Boyd and company last week. I love a Cam, CMC, Moore and Olsen stack this week in tournaments.

Courtland Sutton: $3,900 vs. Houston (Home)

Every DFS article that you read this week will have Sutton as a “smash” play. They are right, he is. The Texans are on their seventy fifth defensive back on the season it seems and Sutton receives a bump in usage and targets after the Thomas trade. The stars are aligning for Sutton this week. Play him with no hesitation.

 

Tight End:

Travis Kelce: $6,600 vs Cleveland (Road)

It’s a VERY chalky week at the tight end position as all of the most expensive options have favorable match ups on paper. The good news is there are plenty of values elsewhere which means you can fit in a Travis Kelce rather easily.

Greg Olsen: $4,700 vs Tampa Bay (Home)

Olsen is starting to look healthier every week and his numbers are on the rise. A touchdown last week and fifty six yards was very encouraging. I think he keeps it up this week in what should be a fun game to watch.

O.J. Howard: $4,300 vs. Carolina (Road)

I told you you could book Howard for a touchdown last week and he delivered! A new starting quarterback for the Bucs should help his cause as Fitzmagic loves to throw the football all over the yard. Sip the O.J. once more this week!

 

Defense:

Miami: $2,800 vs. N.Y. Jets (Home)

The Dolphins have given up an average of thirty points over the last three games but look to bounce back against a rookie Qb lacking receiving weapons. The Dolphins have had a knack for forcing turnovers. I like there chances at home this week.

Buffalo: $2,300 vs. Chicago (Home)

The Bills played great defense last Monday night against the Patriots and I think the Bears will struggle on the road in a hostile environment.

L.A. Chargers: $2,300 vs. Seattle (Road)

Fresh off the bye week the Chargers might get Joey Bosa back just in time to face a Seahawks team coming off of a big win. This game might be a low scoring affair as both teams struggle to move the ball.

 

That wraps up Doug’s Draftkings player picks for week nine! If you have any questions please shoot us an email at trophytime@tffgurus.com or feel free to send us a tweet @dafantasyfather  or @TFFGurus. Good luck and let’s win some money!!!

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