Doug’s Draftkings Player Picks Week Fifteen
Missed the playoffs? It’s ok, I missed the playoffs in a few leagues too. Now you can extend your fantasy football season by playing Draftkings in weeks 15-17! If you are just starting to play then I welcome you in and if you’ve been playing I hope you read this every week and that it has helped you during the season. It’s another tricky week in the milly maker so join me as I guide you through the upside down so you can come out on the other end unscathed!
As important as it is for the “chalk” to hit in GPP’s it’s just as important to find those contrarian plays that nobody else is playing to increase your chances of placing in the money. It’s a gentle balance, that’s for sure. Lineup construction is the most important piece to success. Take your time, do your research and go with your gut as to who YOU think will do well. Group think can cloud your thinking! I’m just a guide to help you and I hope you enjoy my advice every week.
As a way to hold myself accountable to myself and you, the reader, I will provide a weekly recap of the previous weeks player picks. I find that accountability is important in this industry as too many writers, podcasters and “experts” throw things at a wall and see if they stick and are quick to tout their “wins” but never talk about the “losses” or “misses”. Both you and I know nobody is perfect at predicting what is going to happen week to week but I think some reflection is due when you whiff on a player or team pick for the week. I will break these down into three categories: Touchdowns are players that finished in the top 10 at their respective position or produced 3-5X their value. First Downs are players that didn’t hurt you in your lineup and had average results based on cost. Punts are the players that I completely whiffed on and did not help you in any way, shape or form. They happen, it’s part of the game. If I did a bad job picking them I’m going to own up to it!
Touchdowns: Russell Wilson, Jimmy Garrapollo, Deshone Kizer, Lesean McCoy, Adam Thielen, Josh Gordon
First Downs: Marqise Lee, Travis Kelce
Punts: Peyton Barber, Jay Ajayi, Trent Taylor, Jimmy Graham, Stephen Anderson, Jets D, Seattle D, Buffalo D
On to this weeks picks:
Cam Newton: $6,400 vs. Green Bay (Home)
Cam Newton only completed 13/25 passes and threw for 137 yards against the Vikings last week. The good news is he did have a passing TD and 70 yards on the ground. This is a great bounce back spot for Cam against a Packers defense that just gave up three TD throws to Deshone Kizer. It appears Aaron Rodgers will be back for the Packers and that should make this game more competitive which also favors Cam. Look for Cam to throw for 250, run for 75 and have three total TD’s on the day.
Blake Bortles: $5,700 vs. Houston (Home)
Don’t look now but Blake Bortles is putting together another QB1 campaign. Bortles played very well at home against the Seahawks last week throwing for almost 300 yards and two scores and now faces one of the leagues worst secondaries. The Texans have been bleeding points to Quarterbacks and part of that is the fact they have still been pretty good against the run forcing QB’s to keep throwing against them in order to move the ball. I wouldn’t be shocked if Bortles passes for 300 yards and three touchdowns on Sunday.
Blaine Gabbert: $4,800 vs. Washington (Road)
I don’t know. Just a hunch Gabbert is a decent play and especially now that Josh Norman is on the injury report. Onions play of the week.
Todd Gurley: $8,300 vs. Seattle (Road)
My no brainer play of the week. Great usage, no competition and an elite talent, Gurley should have a great game against a Seahawks defense that might be without both K.J. Wright and Bobby Wagner this week. If both of those players play I still like Gurley because of his usage in the passing game. 100 yards from scrimmage and two scores are imminent.
Christian McCaffrey: $6,000 vs. Green Bay (Home)
McCaffrey’s price has slowly started to go down as his usage has started to erode over the last few weeks. I think this is a great time to buy in on CMC. The Packers have been struggling against pass catching backs and just gave up a receiving TD to Duke Johnson Jr. last week. Sister Christian racks up 15 touches this week and snags seven receptions with a score against those pesky Packers!
Alex Collins: $5,000 vs. Cleveland (Road)
This is a match made in heaven if Danny Shelton is unable to play for the Browns this week. Collins has been absolutely balling for the Ravens and all we need is for Buck Allen to go away and stop sniping those Td’s! This seems like a game that you are going to see more rushing attempts than normal and I think Collins touches the ball twenty times or more and puts up another 120 yards and a score. What a bahhhgain kid!
Michael Thomas: $7,400 vs. N.Y. Jets (Home)
The Jets have been giving up a ton of points to WR1’s over the last six weeks and are fresh off letting DT go off for a 8/93/1 stat line. Thomas has been a rock solid cash game lineup play most of the season and we are finally seeing positive regression in Td’s. All signs point to Thomas having another 7/90/1 type of week against the Jets.
Marquise Goodwin: $6,000 vs. Tennessee (Home)
Averaging ten targets and 100 yards receiving over the last two games with Jimmy G at the helm, Godwin is in a great spot at a great price this week. He’s at home and facing the Titans passing defense which has given up the third most points through the air and the most pass attempts against per game this year. I fully expect another ten target, 100 yard game with a score from Mr. Goodwin in the bay.
Alshon Jeffrey: $5,900 vs. N.Y. Giants (Road)
No Wentz? No problem! I like Alshon to make his hay on the outside in a great match up against the Giants. Great tournament play but I would avoid in cash as the Eagles could run the ball a ton here. Game script is hard to predict but Jeffrey popping off is in my range of outcomes.
Corey Coleman: $4,400 vs. Baltimore (Home)
The Ravens weakness on defense is clearly their secondary as they just gave up over 500! yards to Big Ben on Sunday night last week. One of Deshone Kizers strengths is getting the ball down field and it looked there was enough to go around for both Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman last week as they both scored touchdowns and eclipsed sixty yards receiving. Coleman is a great WR3 in your tournament lineups this week!
Zach Ertz: $6,000 vs. N.Y. Giants (Road)
It appears as if Ertz will be cleared to play on Sunday and the match up couldn’t be any rosier even with Nick Foles under center. The Giants give up the most points to the TE position and there is no help for them in sight. Ertz is a great play in both cash and tournaments this week.
Kyle Rudolph: $4,700 vs. Cincinnati (Home)
Rudolph was seen in a walking boot on Weds. so his status is up in the air for Sunday so be prepared to switch him out if need be. If he plays he will have low ownership in a great match up. He’s been very consistent over the last six weeks.
Charles Clay: $3,000 vs. Miami (Home)
Revenge game! Clay also gets Tyrod back and hopefully this game won’t be in a blizzard!
New Orleans: $3,900 vs. N.Y. Jets (Home)
Bryce Petty is the starting QB for the Jets. The Jets are on the road. You know what to do.
Carolina: $2,900 vs. Green Bay (Home)
But isn’t Aaron Rodgers returning Doug? It appears that way yes, but you can’t tell me he won’t be rusty after missing the last couple of months with his shoulder injury. The Panthers D should be able to be serviceable at this depressed cost.
Cardinals: $2,900 vs. Washington (Road)
The Skins are really struggling on offense as of late so I think the Cardinals can keep Cousins and his brothers in check.
That wraps up Doug’s Draftkings player picks for week fifteen! If you have any questions please shoot us an email at firstname.lastname@example.org or feel free to send us a tweet @dafantasyfather, @TFFGurus, and @thefantasyboys. Good luck and let’s win some money!!!