Hogs & Dogs: Week 12
We’re at that point in the season where I’ve gone as many rants and tireless escapades as possible, at least on the writing front. Maybe I’ll throw in a few more for good measure on the podcast, but I think I’ve covered almost everything I can this year in these Wednesday morning specials. If anymore pop into my brain, well I’ll be sure to let you readers know how I feel come that time. But at this point, it’s best to focus on the now, and the matchups that are already on the horizon for the next week. This week we look ahead to week 12, our second to last week before playoffs *should* start. All the props to you and your league if you have some wonky type of other system, so long as you aren’t playing your championship in week 17. That’s a no-no. The playoff push continues, week 12 here we come!
This is our weekly start and sit article that we want to get out to you before the Thursday night game. While discussing starts and sits in Hogs and Dogs, we also like to sprinkle in some buy lows, sell highs, who’s hot/cold, and contrarian views that might not exactly mesh with what the majority of other experts are saying. We like to give you a different perspective of the NFL while also delivering some helpful advice that can translate to success in your leagues. So, without further ado, let’s get this show on the road.
Cam Newton – Bam-a-Lam-a-Cam. Cam Newton tossing his body around and making plays on his feet is exactly what we want as fantasy owners and probably exactly what his body and future do not want. But, we will certainly take the production. The number six QB on the season gets the Jets in East Rutherford and shouldn’t have a problem matriculating the ball down the field, especially after a refreshing bye week.
Ben Roethlisberger – Fresh off his best game of the season, Gigantic Benjamin now faces Green Bay, who just got blanked by Joe Flaccid and the Ravens. Big Ben should be in for another big game at home against the reeling Packers before a few tough tests against Cincy and the aforementioned Baltimore birds.
Kareem Hunt – Don’t bench him! Andy Reid is feeling the heat and knows he needs to get things into gear. The Chiefs also get the Bills who cannot stop a thing on the ground since trading Marcel Dareus. It’ll be nearly impossible for him to not run rampant this weekend.
Jerick McKinnon / Latavius Murray – The Lions were just gashed on the ground and have been conceding considerable yards as of late. I expect Murray to be the bigger benefactor of the two but wouldn’t be surprised if both have big games, especially on a short week, where the quarterbacks have less time to fully prepare an entire playbook.
Mike Wallace – He’s definitely a dart-throw, but these are the types of players that make or break your week. And in a season filled with so much parity, you’re just as lucky to hit on Mike Wallace as you are to hit on anyone that isn’t Antonio Brown or DeAndre Hopkins. The Texans have also given up the most 40+ yard plays on the season.
Julio Jones – I am as unhappy as you are about his lack of production, and it’s quite unfortunate that its gotten to this point. But against a pretty poor Tampa Bay secondary, I actually think Julio is going to feast. He’s also not benchable yet since he’s still averaging over eight fantasy points a game, despite his one touchdown.
Davante Adams – Has established himself as Hundley’s favorite target over the past few weeks and is probably the only trustable asset in that offense right now. Keep him fired up as a WR2 until proven otherwise.
Sammy Watkins – At this point we know that he’s a boom or bust play. But, the combination of injuries to both Bobby Woods and Marshon Lattimore, makes Watkins a really intriguing play this week. If you know me, I’m still a believer in the talent and I’m not giving up hope just yet. He’s a mid-level WR2 until Woods returns.
Vernon Davis – The Giants finally didn’t surrender a touchdown to a tight end in week 11, although Travis Kelce still popped off for 109 yards on eight grabs. The popping shall continue for one of the few fantasy players that will just not go away, a la Frank Gore. Davis is a TE1 this week.
Philadelphia Eagles – Each week they seem to improve a little bit more. They now face a rookie quarterback in a sub-par offense that is the Chicago Bears. This game will feature an impressive showdown of line play as the Bears’ offensive line faces the Eagles’ stout front seven. Despite this tough line matchup, I still expect the Philly defense to make plays and reward us fantasy owners against an offense that has not done much.
Matthew Stafford – On a short week and facing one of the stiffest defenses in the league, this is a situation I’d try and avoid. He only put up 10.06 fantasy points in their first matchup this year and that was with a full week of prep, albeit on the road. He has been very consistent of late but the Lions’ offense is quite short of spectacular and this looks to be a battle of field position and low scoring. I would prefer the likes of Mariota, Big Ben, Phil Rivers, or even Case Keenum.
Adrian Peterson – It has been tough sledding for the old man as of late. Things get no easier in a tough matchup against the Jaguars who have been able to fully utilize their new run-stopper, Marcell Dareus. The Jaguars defense has been incredible this year and AP will be facing many a stacked box.
Derrick Henry – I’m just not sure we’re ever going to see Henry used in a heavy role this season, despite what DeMarco Murray may or may not be showing on the field. We might have to wait yet another year to see the full potential of this young man. The Titans do not seem interested in letting him take the lion’s share of the touches.
Doug Martin – The only thing on Martin’s side right now is the amount of touches he’s getting. Aside from that he hasn’t scored over 8.00 fantasy points since week six. It is an extremely risky play to say the least, and one I will not be taking the plunge on until he showcases the talent we all know and love.
Robby Anderson – The second half darling might run into a bit of a speed bump this weekend against a rapidly improving Carolina secondary. He’s found the end zone in four straight, which I think comes to an end this weekend. The matchup is rough and we must remember that Josh McCown is his quarterback.
Jordy Nelson – Start your studs need not apply. He has done next to nothing since losing Aaron Rodgers. No way you can start him with any confidence.
That’ll wrap us up. Best of luck to everyone this week. We’re here to have fun and we’re here to help you. So, if you can’t get enough of the Guru family, be sure to check out all our great content below. We’re everywhere, so come get in on the action!
Twitter – @TheFantasyBoys, @DaFantasyFather, @TFFGurus, @DecoyLife
Facebook – The Fantasy Football Gurus
Podcast – Trophy Time
Email – TrophyTime@TFFGurus.com
Patreon – www.patreon.com/TFFGurus