The Waiver Wire – Week 11
Week 10 saw two major waiver wire pickups catapult to the top of their respected positions with monster performances and Kenyan Drake once again delivered for fantasy owners Monday Night. Even C.J. Beathard got in on the streaming fun posting a top 5 QB performance. In my big money home league, our waivers go through Wednesday morning and like me, you hopefully put all your FAAB (Free-Agent Acquisition Budget) or top waiver claim on Robert Woods. I had 30 dollars left of a $100 budget and my opponent had $44. I was doomed I tell you! I couldn’t sleep, I tossed and turned all evening checking my phone to see what time it was so I could end the anxiety and find out if I had won Mr. Woods. My phone read 5:44 am, I decided to go right to our league page instead of checking my email first and there he was, Robert FUCKING Woods, glowing on my bench!! The same Robert Woods who exploded for over 30+ fantasy points! LETTTTSS GOOOOO!
I was so excited I could barely go back to sleep. This is the power of the Waiver Wire it can change the course of your team in one move. Robert Woods is your #1 WR for Week 10 and he was in this article last week. So wasn’t Rex Burkhead who makes another appearance as he has jumped to the front of the Patriots RB pack. Week 10 was another light one on the injury front but we did lose Aaron Jones to a knee injury that could potentially knock him out of the fantasy playoffs and Ty Montogomery also re-injured his ribs. Will Fuller also hurt his ribs and missed the majority of the game Sunday. The biggest injury of the weekend was to Falcons RB Davonta Freeman who was ruled out of the Falcons game early with a concussion and early reports have him missing their week 11 game vs the Seahawks Monday night.
Let’s stand up and give a golf clap because week 11 marks the end of NFL byes as Carolina, Indianapolis, New York Jets, and San Francisco all have the week off. This is a lighter week with only Cam, McCaffrey, and T.Y. being the big names that will be missed the most.
a disclaimer, all players must be owned by less than 60% of ESPN or Yahoo leagues. Ownership percentages are in parenthesizes. Below I have ranked the top 3 adds at each position with a bonus player or two sprinkled in throughout.
Eli Manning (ESPN 48% / Yahoo 51%): Say what you want about the Giants but Eli has been a serviceable fantasy QB in plus matchups this year. Eli already has two QB 1 weeks under his belt and has had back to back 2 touchdown games. The GMen are facing one of the worst pass secondaries in the league who are giving up on average 282.7 yards per game over their past three. San Francisco over that same time has only given up 217.7 and Eli was able to rack up a QB2 performance against that group. KC ranks 28th in passing yards and is giving up 2 passing touchdowns a game. This is the Eli’s best chance for a top 5 finish this season.
Blake Bortles (ESPN 15% / Yahoo 31%): My beloved BB has been ok this year as a game manager for the Jaguars. His 51 attempts Sunday marked a season high and the emergence of Marqise Lee has helped make a solid passing attack. With DeDe Westbrook potentially set to return this week, I like Bortles as a streaming option on the road in Cleveland. 300 yards and 2 touchdowns are not out of the realm of possibilities for Bortles as Cleveland will focus on stopping Fournette. The Browns have been exceptionally good against the run all year only allowing 84.2 yards ranking them 4th in the NFL against the run.
Case Keenum (ESPN 13% / Yahoo 16%): This is a tough one because the return of Teddy Bridgewater this past week has put the writing on the wall that Keenum’s time as the starter is numbered. Keenum’s performance Sunday (21 of 29, 304 yards, and 4 TD’s) almost has to earn him one more week behind center but a tough test comes into US Bank Stadium Sunday. Over the past three weeks, the Rams are giving up the 5th fewest yards per game (191.0) and the lowest completion percentage (50%) in the NFL. This is the riskiest play of the group but it also comes with the most explosive offense and talent.
Bonus: Andy Dalton (ESPN 43% / Yahoo 54%): The red riffle gets a streaming matchup vs the reeling Broncos defense which has given up 92 points over the past two weeks. Dalton was good last week throwing for two touchdowns which felt good after a week removed from not finding the end zone at all. It’s a road streaming start so it comes with risk but Denver is looking like they can’t stop anybody right now. Tom Brady completed over 75% of his passes Sunday and over their past 3 games the Broncos are giving up the 3rd most passing touchdowns per game in the league (2.7). Only Houston and the Giants have been worse.
Double Bonus: Drew Stanton (ESPN 4% / Yahoo 3%): This is strictly a matchup play just like Jared Goff & Jacoby Brissett before him. Stanton gets the amazing to start QB’s against Houston Texans Sunday. Houston has been terrible the since their bye and currently rank dead last in passing yards allowed (354.7) and passing touchdowns per game (3.0) over that same time and rank second to last in passing yards per attempt (9.8). All these numbers point to a team that can’t stop the passing game and set’s Stanton up to continue the streak of top 5 QB performances.
Dion Lewis (ESPN 37% / Yahoo 56%) & Rex Burkhead (ESPN 11% / Yahoo 11%): Both Lewis and Burkhead are most likely available in your league and it’s high way robbery if you can get either of them this late in the year. Lewis & Burkhead both finished as RB 1’s this past week (written before MNF). The healthy scratch of Gillislee was a flare in the sky of their belief in Burkhead on the road vs one of the leagues top run defenses. I think Burkhead has the more defined every week role but Lewis is lightning in a bottle. Both can be owned and started each week if they continue to see the lions share on early downs.
Jamaal Williams (ESPN 2% / Yahoo 5%): The injury’s to Montogomery (week to week) & Jones (3 to 6 weeks) opens the door for Williams to be the #1 RB in Green Bay. Without Rodgers, the job doesn’t come with the same appeal but with Baltimore’s 29th ranked rush defense on deck Williams is a good spot fill in for McCaffrey, Hyde, Gore, Mack, Forte, or Powell owners.
Latavius Murray (ESPN 61% / Yahoo 43%): Murray’s volume remains steady (17 attempts a game) and on Sunday not only did he get more RB attempts over McKinnon (17-12) he had one less snap on offense than him (31 to 30). I still think McKinnon has tremendous value due to his game-breaking ability but the Vikings have made it clear they are going to use an RBBC committee with Murray and McKinnon. Murray seems to have a very safe floor based on volume and snap share and should see all the goal line work when they get down there. Minnesota ranks 4th best with 4.3 red zone opportunities per game over their past three and 5th best on the season (3.7).
Bonus: Austin Ekeler (ESPN 2% / Yahoo 3%): Let’s be honest no one saw the increased volume and or production from Ekeler Sunday. Ekeler saw his largest snap share of the season (23) and used his 10 touches and 5 catches to total 117 yards and 2 TDs against a very good Jaguars defense. Now for whatever reason, the Jags are much worse at home then they are on the road but none the less the production and volume happened and Ekeler is a good stash as you head towards the playoffs.
Double Bonus: Samaje Perine(ESPN 6% / Yahoo 7%): The injury to Rob Kelley (Miss multiple weeks) means we have a clear #1 on the waiver wire! Perine hasn’t been anything special in the times he has filled in but the increased volume in a team that is only one week removed from playing the Giants (28th against the run) wk12 and the Chargers wk 14 (31st against the run).
Marqise Lee (ESPN 42% / Yahoo 59%): If you missed out on Robert Woods last week I’m sorry but there is still hope to get an every week WR off the waiver wire this week. Lee has been outstanding the past two weeks posting a WR1 performance in week 9 & WR 2 performance in week 10. Lee has 23 targets, 14 Rec, 130 yards, 2 touchdowns. The schedule down the stretch for Lee is phenomenal; wk 11 @Cle (30th in opp scoring), wk 12 @Ari (25th in opp scoring), wk 13 vs Ind (32nd in opp scoring), wk 14 vs Sea (tough matchup), wk 15 vs Hou (31st in opp scoring), & wk 16 @SF (27th in opp scoring). Lee is the top target unless you are in direct need of another skill position player or QB because of injury or the bye week.
Corey Davis (ESPN 34% / Yahoo 48%): Similar to Lee, Davis’s snap share (86% in wk 10) has increased since the Titans bye and his 10 targets Sunday led the team. Davis is the clear cut #1 option on passing attack that is starting to round into form and it’s just in time for the easiest stretch of the Titans schedule. After Thursday night the Titans face; wk 12 @Ind, wk 13 Hou, wk 14 @Ari, and wk 15 @SF. Mariota finally was able to put up a QB1 and Davis is a big part of that. A fluke fumble in the endzone for a touchback was all that was keep Davis from having a big game in week 10 and getting his first career touchdown. I think before the end of the year Davis will have a handful if not more.
Jamison Crowder (ESPN 48% / Yahoo 54%): Once again this is a volume play and it doesn’t hurt that Crowder plays in one of the most explosive passing offenses in the league. In the last two games Crowder has played (wk 9 DNP) he has seen 24 targets, 13 catches, for 199 yards. Crowder has seen a massive touchdown regression which happens with slot receivers but with plus matchups down the stretch wk 12 vs Giants, wk 13 @Dallas w/ no Sean Lee, wk 14 @Chargers, wk 15 vs Arizona, and wk 16 vs Denver. The touchdowns are coming all you have to wait is one more week!
Bonus:Corey Coleman (ESPN 11% / Yahoo 22%): Coleman is good to go for week 11 and is one of the most dynamic young WR’s in the league. Coleman provides the Browns with the opportunity to put their optimal lineup on the field every Sunday and will help open up the field for Duke Johnson Jr and David Njoku. Coleman is a must grab and stash in deeper leagues and could be a great spot start in wk 12 @Cin and again wk 13 @ the Chargers.
C.J. Fiedorowicz (ESPN 4% / Yahoo 13%): Fiedorfarts finally made it back to the field after missing 8 weeks with a concussion. In a tough first game back C.J. saw 6 targets and was on the field for 63 of 69 snaps (92.6%). This week the Texans get to travel back home and face a Cardinals secondary that just gave up a 2 score performance to Jimmy Graham on last Thursday Night. The snap share and volume make Fiedorowicz a solid streaming option this week.
Tyler Kroft (ESPN 56% / Yahoo 53%): Denver is giving up the 2nd most fantasy points to TE’s and has been gashed for big point totals last two weeks. Kroft hasn’t found the end zone in three weeks but he has seen 100% of the snap share at TE last two weeks and has 18 targets over the past four weeks. In a tough TE streaming week, Kroft looks on paper to be a viable streaming option.
Martellus Bennett (ESPN 29% / Yahoo 33%): Marty B is back in New England and it looked like he hadn’t left! Came in and had a nice catch and run on his first catch as a Patriot (again!). Bennett is always going to see light coverage when he is on the field with Gronk and the matchup is great for both Gronk and Bennett vs Oakland in Mexico City. Oakland has given up the 8th most fantasy points to TE’s (8.86 pts p/g) and gave up 84 yards and a touchdown to Julius Thomas before their week 10 bye.
Bonus: Jermaine Gresham (ESPN 1% / Yahoo 1%): Gresham has seen snap share of 88% & 90% over the past two weeks and gets a week 11 plus matchup vs the Houston Texans who are giving up the 6th most fantasy points to TE’s (9.29 pts p/g). To put the cherry on top of making the case for Gresham as a top streaming option this week, Jermaine has found the end zone in two straight weeks and saw 7 targets Thursday night vs the Seahawks.
Defenses to Stream
Arizona Cardinals (ESPN 47% / Yahoo 46%) vs Hou
New Orleans Saints (ESPN 46% / Yahoo 49%) vs Was
Cincinnati Bengals (ESPN 37% / Yahoo 25%) vs Den
Los Angeles Chargers (ESPN 9% / Yahoo 6%) vs Buf
Kickers to Stream
Harrison Butker (ESPN / Yahoo 39%) vs NYG
Jake Elliott (ESPN / Yahoo 40%) vs Dal
Josh Lambo (ESPN / Yahoo 32%) vs Cle
Blair Walsh (ESPN / Yahoo 26%) vs Atl
That will do it for week 11. Do you need EVEN more fantasy advice? You can find us on Twitter @TFFGurus or feel free to email us at TrophyTime@TFFGurus.com. I will see you all next Tuesday for another edition of The Waiver Wire. Best of luck this week and remember championships are won on The Waiver Wire!