Doug’s DraftKings Player Picks Week Seven
Man, oh man, what a week six! Scoring across the league was up and there were a ton of good games to consume. Week seven brings us a challenging slate on Sunday. A lot of the big name players don’t have favorable match ups so play them at your own risk. I’ve gone through the slate to bring you my favorite plays and it looks like I’ll be stacking players quite a bit in my cash lineups and in tournaments.
As important as it is for the “chalk” to hit in GPP’s it’s just as important to find those contrarian plays that nobody else is playing to increase your chances of placing in the money. It’s a gentle balance, that’s for sure. Lineup construction is the most important piece to success. Take your time, do your research and go with your gut as to who YOU think will do well. Group think can cloud your thinking! I’m just a guide to help you and I hope you enjoy my advice every week.
As a way to hold myself accountable to myself and you, the reader, I will provide a weekly recap of the previous weeks player picks. I find that accountability is important in this industry as too many writers, podcasters and “experts” throw things at a wall and see if they stick and are quick to tout their “wins” but never talk about the “losses” or “misses”. Both you and I know nobody is perfect at predicting what is going to happen week to week but I think some reflection is due when you whiff on a player or team pick for the week. I will break these down into three categories: Touchdowns are players that finished in the top 10 at their respective position or produced 3-5X their value. First Downs are players that didn’t hurt you in your lineup and had average results based on cost. Punts are the players that I completely whiffed on and did not help you in any way, shape or form. They happen, it’s part of the game. If I did a bad job picking them I’m going to own up to it!
Touchdowns: Deshaun Watson, Carson Palmer, Jerrick Mckinnon, Antonio Brown, Davante Adams
First Downs: Kareem Hunt, John Brown, Austin Hooper, George Kittle, Tampa D
Punts: Kevin Hogan, Lamar Miller, Aaron Jones, Terrelle Pryor, David Njoku, Washington D, Jacksonville D
On to this weeks picks:
Dak Prescott: $7,300 vs. San Francisco (Road)
Fresh off the bye week and possibly without Zeke Elliott, Prescott looks to carry the load for America’s team on the road. This is a perfect stack play this week with Dez Bryant. It may be a little costly but the floor is safe which makes it a great cash game play.
Tyrod Taylor: $5,100 vs. Tampa Bay (Home)
All the Buccaneers do is give up air yards and scores to opposing quarterbacks. One of the reasons for this is they cannot get pressure on the quarterback. The Bills have a great line and even with subpar weapons, Tyrod Taylor should still shine. Nobody to throw to? Tuck it and run Tyrod!
Brett Hundley: $5,100 vs. New Orleans (Home)
This game has the highest point total on the Sunday slate according to Vegas so I’m looking for some cheap exposure to it. I liked what I saw out of Hundley despite the turnovers and we all know he is surrounded by some great talent that will help him succeed. Dirt cheap play in what might become a positive game script for the passing game. If you are looking for another good play this week C.J. Beathard also has a favorable match up against the Cowboys.
Lesean McCoy: $7,400 vs. Tampa Bay (Home)
Another savvy stack play with Tyrod Taylor, Shady is well rested after a bye week and ready to rock. The Buccaneers just gave up over one hundred yards to the 32 year old Adrian Peterson! Love Shady as a rock solid RB1 in a plus match up.
Carlos Hyde: $5,900 vs. Dallas (Home)
I know Hyde’s totals were boosted with two short touchdowns against the Redskins in week six but he was clearly the lead dog. It has been a bit of a roller coaster with Hyde this year as coach speak has clouded his potential usage. The Cowboys stink against the run and Hyde should see a big workload at home. One hundred total yards and a score this week. Book it.
Joe Mixon: $5,000 vs. Pittsburgh (Road)
Yet another player coming off of a bye week! It’s purely coincidental I assure you. Mixon has been seeing the lion’s share of the workload the last two weeks for the Bengals. The Steelers have been one of the worst run defenses in the league so far this season and I know one of these weeks Mixon is going to break out. I’m thinking it’s this week which is great because of that gorgeous price!
Frank Gore: $4,100 vs. Jacksonville (Home)
He’s old. He’s not sexy. He’s the fantasy cockroach! The Colts refused to get the ball to Marlon Mack in week six and Frank Gore looked pretty spry getting the bulk of the backfield touches. The Jaguars keep giving up one hundred yard rushers so why not Gore?
Dez Bryant: $7,800 vs. San Francisco (Road)
Dez should ball out in what is an A plus match up. Life with no Zeke should produce more targets for the X-man. I expect to see seven catches for 125 yards and a score this week.
Davante Adams: $5,800 vs. New Orleans (Home)
I’m puzzled that Adam’s price only went up $100 this week after he had a nice day on Sunday. I expect his streak of good games to continue and he will find pay dirt again at home versus New Orleans. All this kid does is score touchdowns!
Sammy Watkins: $4,400 vs. Arizona (Home)
This could completely blow up in my face. A player of Watkins caliber at this price is so intriguing. Patrick Peterson re-aggravated an injury and left Sunday’s game late and did not return. If Peterson is out this week against the Rams then look out! I think Watkins finally gets back on his horse and does something in fantasy.
Jimmy Graham: $4,900 vs. New York Giants (Road)
I know it didn’t happen this past week but Tight Ends score against the Giants at an alarming rate. Fire up Graham as he should score this week.
Hunter Henry: $4,200 vs. Denver (Home)
Usage is up, Gates is dead. The Broncos are terrible against the Tight End. I know Henry had a bagel when these two teams met in week one. Look for a big rebound for double H at home.
Kyle Rudolph: $3,800 vs. Baltimore (Home)
Speaking of usage, Kyle Rudolph is scratching his way back into a usable option. The Ravens do a nice job against opposing receivers which leads to Tight End targets. Look for Rudolph to transform in the redzone reindeer once again.
Jacksonville: $3,700 vs. Indianapolis (Road)
It seems the Jags D plays it’s biggest games on the road so I’m banking on them this week to bounce back from a disappointing week six performance.
Minnesota: $3,300 vs. Baltimore (Home)
The Baltimore offense is a wreck and the Vikings play even better at home. A match made in heaven.
Cincinnati: $2,500 vs. Pittsburgh (Road)
The way the NFL has been this year, nothing surprises me any more. This is my hail mary play of the week. Ya never know!
That wraps up Doug’s Draftkings player picks for week seven! If you have any questions please shoot us an email at firstname.lastname@example.org or feel free to send us a tweet @dafantasyfather, @TFFGurus, and @thefantasyboys. Good luck and let’s win some money!!!