The Trade Report – Week 5 Buys & Sells

Week 5 Trade Market

In this weekly series, I’ll be observing a few players each week that I would be targeting in trades and a few players that I would be looking to cash out on. Sometimes these aren’t all buy lows or sell highs this week but they’re players I think you should be willing to pay the price for. These recommendations assume a standard format, but would likely change very little in another format. If you have specific questions about trades then feel free to ask me on Twitter, at @ZakDewitt.

Buys

Christian McCaffrey (CAR) – CMC saw his highest usage of the season in Week 4. Granted, Cam and the Panthers offense looked great but it was against the Patriots awful defense. I still don’t believe in Cam but CMC still gives you a very safe floor. He doesn’t see a ton of carries every week but he’s utilized in the passing game and that will stop him from being affected. He has yet to give you a blow-up week so this is the time to buy him while the price is low and the owner may be starting to doubt him. It’s only a matter of time until CMC shows us what we saw in college so get him while you can.

 

Dez Bryant (DAL) – Week 5 has always been the week that we planned on buying Dez. Dez has had a brutal first four weeks. He faced Janoris Jenkins, the vaunted Denver secondary, Patrick Peterson and then had his best game against the Rams last week. However, his next two games are against Green Bay and San Francisco and those first four weeks were the roughest part of his schedule. Dez has still seen 29% of his team’s targets and is being heavily targeted in the red zone. Dak has shown that he will often look Dez’s way and Bryant is still an elite wide receiver. Dez is still a WR1 and is going to show it in the coming weeks.

 

Ameer Abdullah (DET) – Abdullah saw a heavy increase in usage in Week 4. Abdullah easily led the team in snaps and saw 23 total touches for 94 rushing yards and 15 receiving yards. Abdullah even saw goal-line usage which has often been a knock on him in fantasy. The Lions kept saying that they planned to feature him and last week was the week we finally saw that usage. He has always been looked at as a talented running back and we may start to see him post borderline RB1 numbers now with a weak upcoming schedule. The time to buy is now.

 

T.Y. Hilton (IND) – Fire up your offers for Colts players. Andrew Luck has begun practicing and now is time to buy low on Colts players. I will say, this is probably a move that a 4-0 or 3-1 team should make. It’s still gonna be a bit until Andrew Luck comes back so if you buy Hilton now, you’ll probably still have to struggle through some rough weeks. When Andrew Luck comes back, he will breathe life into this offense and make it fantasy relevant again. I’m still not ready to buy Andrew Luck yet but I’m definitely ready to buy T.Y. Hilton now.

 

Charles Clay (BUF) – Clay started off as only a streamer but the tight end position is so ugly now that Clay may be an every week starter. If you don’t have Gronk, Ertz, or Kelce, then you’re likely trying to stream the position. Tyrod has shown that he loves to target Clay and he is one of the only remaining players in that offense that Tyrod has a rapport and chemistry with. Clay also provides you with a fair amount of touchdown upside. It should be noted, you may not need to trade for Clay. There’s a chance that he’s still on your waiver wire so he’s definitely worth a look.

 

Sells

Isaiah Crowell (CLE) – I’m starting to panic on Crowell. He has not looked good and his usage his steadily decreased while Duke Johnson’s usage has increased. Hue Jackson has said he still believes in Crowell but I do not. I would really be trying to get out from under him. This is likely a situation where you have to sell low but I’d do it. The Browns have a great offensive line and Crowell should be performing much better. I would be selling Crowell where I owned him and then likely trying to buy Duke Johnson if you need the running back help.

 

Michael Crabtree (OAK) – Crabtree should still be holding WR2 value based on his performance this season. However, that performance is being buoyed by a three-touchdown game. Derek Carr is slated to miss 2-6 weeks so Crabtree is unlikely to hold his WR2 value for much longer. I would be really pushing to try and sell Crabtree and would likely take any WR2 or RB2 in return. The time to sell is now before EJ Manuel kills his value.

 

Jeremy Maclin (BAL) – Maclin isn’t much more than a name right now. His production is also being supported by touchdowns but he’s been struggling in the Raven’s offense. Well, everybody has been struggling in that offense. He’s not on the same page as Joe Flacco and his upside is severely capped in this dumpster fire of an offense. He was out-targeted by Mike Wallace last week and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see that happen again. Sell Maclin to another owner that buys into his touchdown production.

 

Mike Gillislee (NEP) – Gillislee started off the season hot, but again, was buoyed by touchdown production. He’s also been hurt by the game script. The Patriots defense has been atrocious and that’s resulted in them playing in a lot of close games. This hurts Gillislee because they aren’t in situations where they’re running out the clock. Gillislee is ceding time to James White and Dion Lewis who are better pass catchers and help the Patriots more in negative game scripts. I wouldn’t be panic selling Gillislee but if you can get mid-high RB2 value for him then I’d pull the trigger as I don’t see that Patriots defense doing them any favors.

 

Chris Hogan (NEP) – Hogan is on pace for 60 receptions and 16 touchdowns. One of those numbers looks wrong. Hogan is bound to see touchdown regression over the rest of the season. I could see him scoring 4-5 touchdowns the rest of the year but that won’t carry the same value that he carries now. He’s seeing an unsustainable amount of red zone targets and Brandin Cooks has zero. I would expect that to level out to some degree. I also expect Cooks to get more involved as the season goes on and that will likely hurt Hogan. I’m not saying that Hogan is a bad wide receiver for your roster but I doubt he continues producing as a WR1 or even WR2. If you can get that kind of value for him then I would definitely be selling.

Thank you for checking out The Trade Report! If you have someone you feel would be a great fit for The Trade Report feel free to tweet me @ZakDewitt or email it to us at Trophytime@tffgurus.com. Until next week good luck and I hope they hit accept on your trade offer!

 

 

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