DraftKings DFS Tips for week 15
By Doug Eddy
Week 15 is upon us and if you’ve missed the playoffs in your league the good news is you can play some daily games and try to recoup some of those lost entry fees! I participated in seven DraftKings leagues last week and pretty much broke even. The Seahawks stack hit with the exception of Rawls and my Pittsburgh stack would have been awesome if they could have scored through the air. So be it, its a new week! If you took my advice you probably did OK last week as I hit on about 65% of my picks.
Pick your team and keep it under $50,000 and enter it into weekly contests to earn real money! I will be writing this column weekly with my suggestions for DraftKings lineups and cash game strategies. I will cover three options at each position who I think will break out and not have a high owner percentage which means you have a better chance to win!
Matt Ryan @Jax. $5,700
I’ve never viewed Ryan as a great fantasy QB like some have but I didn’t think he would sink to a level this far this season. Now with that said, Ryan, much like Lacy last week is in a perfect spot to bounce back and be virtually unowned in DFS. He still has the best receiver in the game and one of the best running backs this season at his disposal. I don’t think the Falcons have completely rolled over yet and I expect them to come out swinging versus a Jacksonville defense that can give up the big play. Three hundred yards and a pair of scores should be the floor for good ole Matty Ice this week.
Alex Smith @Bal. $5,100
I looked in a fantasy dictionary for the term “unsexy” and a picture of Alex Smith was there. Now as unsexy as Smiths game may be the bottom line is he is a safe value play, especially this week versus a Baltimore squad in flux. The Ravens pass rush should force Smith out of the pocket and put together a nice rushing game. I think the Ravens keep Kelce quiet so Smith will be targeting Maclin and Albert Wilson for the most part with West also being active out of the backfield on screen passes. Twenty points from Smith should be the floor this week.
T.J. Yates @Ind. $5,000
Yates is my contrarian play of the week as the matchup is nice and the division is on the line. The times Yates has been on the field this season he has showed a nice rapport with Deandre Hopkins and has a much bigger arm than Hoyer so they should be working down field quite a bit. Indy has been getting torched as of late through the air and I don’t see that trend changing especially with the Texams struggling to establish the run. Hopefully O’Brien retires the wildcat formation going forward too.
Jeremy Hill @S.F. $5,000
What a disappointing year it has been for year long Hill owners. Fantastically inconsistent week to week and touchdown dependant. This is the week where I think Hill returns value at his price tag and low ownership. I believe the Bengals will try and force feed the ball to Hill to establish the game flow and chew clock. Mccaron will be a game manager in this one and although the Niners defense plays much better at home they are still 30th in the league against the run. Twenty five touches might be doable this week which should add up to over 100 yards and a score.
Denard Robinson Vs. Atl. $4,600
Reports today still haven’t ruled out Yeldon for this week so that’s a situation that obviously bears monitoring. If Yeldon can’t go its time to lace em up with shoelace! Robinson showed last year that he can be an every down back when needed and gives the Jags some nice speed behind Bortles. The Falcons bring nothing to the table against the run so it should be free reign for Robinson this week. My only concern would be redzone carries as the Jags tend to throw the majority of the time.
Brandon Bolden Vs. Tenn. $3,200
The Patriots lose yet another starter for the season and so its another case of next man up. That man is Brandon Bolden. Heavily embedded in the circle of trust with Belichick, I expect Bolden to get the majority of carries against the Titans. James White is only a factor in passing downs as he only has four carries in the last three games. Bolden has shown flashes in the past and has the ability to get to the edge and hit the homerun like he did against Buffalo a couple of years ago. This has the makings of a blowout so Bolden may see upwards of twenty carries and should be able to turn that into over 100 all purpose yards and lets hope a score or two. Great value this week!
John Brown @Phi. $4900
Smokey Brown has been one of my favorite players to watch this season. He is in my opinion the cog that makes the whole passing game click. He should be able to get his against a Philadelphia secondary that is in the bottom of every metric this year. A Cardinals stack is a smart way to go this week as its been proven there is enough to go around in this offense.
Michael Floyd @Phi. $4,400
Speaking of which, another Cardinal makes the list! Floyd has been criminally underpriced in DFS this year and at $4,400 this week he is a no brainer value. Floyd and Brown have been the duo that has been scoring most of the touchdowns through the air while Fitzgerald has been doing the short yardage, slot work. Floyd has a knack for the big play and finding the end zone. Eighty yards and a score should be his floor this week with a relatively high ceiling.
Tyler Lockett Vs. CLE. $4,200
There was a reason the Seahawks traded up to get Lockett from Kanasas State and now we are finally seeing it. Doug Baldwin has been getting most of the hype and deservedly so, he’s been on a historic run but Lockett has been putting up some great numbers as well. He’s a weapon that is so hard to stop especially considering he’s seeing a teams third best corner. The Browns secondary has been beat up and now Haden was officially put on I.R. this week. I think the Seahawks pass game has one more big week and Lockett scores again. Add the potential for a special teams score and you have a steal at $4,200!
Gary Barnidge @Sea. $5,000
Gary Barnidge has been the biggest surprise story of the NFL this year and could reach 1000 yards receiving this week and double digit touchdowns. The number two TE for the season is a great price this week and most people will look at the matchup and fade him. The Seahawks are 27th in the league against the tight end so that is some flawed logic. The offense goes through him and Manziel proved enough to me last week that he can get Gary the ball.
Richard Rodgers @Oak. $4300
Rodgers to Rodgers has been the most consistent part of the Packers passing game the last few weeks and I don’t expect it to stop against Oakland this week where redzone trips should be plentiful for the Rodgers boys.
Eric Ebron @N.O. $3000
Here he is again. He burned me last time he was here versus Oakland but he has pulled me back in this week. Jim Bob Cooters system was going two tight end heavy and actually getting Brandon Pettigrew the majority of the work, but he tore his ACL last week so it’s back to Ebron. The Saints have been getting gashed by tight ends this season and this game should be high scoring which is a win, win for Ebron.
Dolphins @ Chargers $2,800
Can the Chargers score more than three points this week? Yes, they will score at least ten but Miami will turn them over and return value this week.
Steelers Vs. Broncos $2700
Osweiler has been a dink and dunk type QB since taking over and I see the Steelers getting pressure on him and piling up sacks in what should be a lower scoring game than most think.
Jaguars Vs. Atlanta
In case you believe that Matt Ryan and the Falcons are toast this is a great play for you! If the Falcons don’t come out with some heart this week I can see them imploding and turning it over multiple times to the Jags.